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Cover of Autocrats vs Democrats Book

Amid the constant party divisions in Washington, DC, one issue generates stunning consensus—China—with Republicans and Democrats alike battling over which party can take the most hawkish stance toward the ascendant superpower. Indeed, far from trying to avoid a new Cold War with China, many have embraced it, finding comfort in the familiar construct, almost willing it into existence. And yet, even as politicians and intellectuals race to embrace this Cold War 2.0, many of the perils we face today are distinctly different from those of the Cold War with the Soviets. The alliance between the autocracies of China and Russia, the nature of the ideological struggle, China’s economic might, the rise of the far right in the United States and in Europe, and the growing isolationism and polarization in American society—taken together these represent new challenges for the democratic world. Some elements of the Cold War have reappeared today, but many features of the current great power competition have no analogy from the past century.

For decades Michael McFaul, former ambassador to Russia and international affairs analyst for NBC News, has been one of the preeminent thinkers about American foreign policy. Now, in this provocative work, he challenges the encroaching orthodoxy on Russia and China, arguing persuasively that the way forward is not to force our current conflict into a decades-old paradigm but to learn from our Cold War past so that democracy can again emerge victorious. Examining America’s layered, modern history with both Russia and China, he demonstrates that, instead of simplistically framing our competition with China and Russia as a second Cold War, we must understand the unique military, economic, and ideological challenges that come from China and Russia today, and the develop innovative policies that follow from that analysis, not just a return to the Cold War playbook.

At once a clarion call for American foreign policy and a forceful rebuttal of the creeping Washington consensus around China, Autocrats vs. Democrats demonstrates that the key to prevailing in this new era isn’t simply defeating our enemies through might, but using their oppressive regimes against them—to remind the world of the power and potential that our democratic freedoms make possible. 

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Professor Michael McFaul

FSI Director
"Autocrats vs. Democrats: China, Russia, America, and the New Global" is available starting October 28, 2025.
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From FSI Director, New York Times bestselling author, and former ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul comes a clear-eyed look at how the rise of autocratic China and Russia are compelling some to think that we have entered a new Cold War—and why we must reject that thinking in order to prevail. 

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Michael A. McFaul
Book Publisher
Mariner Books
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CDDRL Honors Student, 2025-26
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Major: Political Science
Hometown: Naperville, Illinois
Thesis Advisor: Jonathan Rodden

Tentative Thesis Title: Broadband for All: Historical Lessons and International Models for U.S. Internet Policy

Future aspirations post-Stanford: After completing my master's in computer science, I hope to go to law school and work in technology law.

A fun fact about yourself: I started lion dancing when I came to college!

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CDDRL Honors Student, 2025-26
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Major: Political Science
Minor: Economics
Hometown: Fremont, California
Thesis Advisor: Vasiliki Fouka

Tentative Thesis Title: Trade, Trust, and Populism: Weighing Norm Adherence against Economic Protectionism

Future aspirations post-Stanford: I'm hoping to explore work in international law and relations between the public and private sectors, since both seem relevant to international economics conversations! I also hope to combine my interest in national security with trade and economics.

A fun fact about yourself: The first guitar solo I learned to play was Hotel California by The Eagles.

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CDDRL Honors Student, 2025-26
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Major: Public Policy and Data Science & Social Systems
Minor: Jewish Studies
Hometown: Mercer Island, Washington 
Thesis Advisor: Hakeem Jefferson

Tentative Thesis Title: The Impact of Electoral Systems on Political Representation

Future aspirations post-Stanford: After Stanford, I'm planning on pursuing a Ph.D. in the social sciences.

A fun fact about yourself: I play the French Horn in the Stanford Wind Symphony!

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CDDRL Honors Student, 2025-26
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Major: International Relations
Minor: Theater
Hometown: Winchester, Virginia
Thesis Advisor: Kathryn Stoner

Tentative Thesis Title: U.S. Silence as a Form of Soft Power

Future aspirations post-Stanford: I plan to attend graduate school, work at the intersection of international development & foreign policy, and pursue global public service projects.

A fun fact about yourself: I was born on leap day!

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CDDRL Honors Student, 2025-26
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Major: Comparative Studies in Race and Ethnicity
Minor: Political Science
Hometown: Stilwell, Cherokee Reservation
Thesis Advisor: Michael Wilcox

Tentative Thesis Title: Flames of Unity; Two Governments One People: Tracing ᎠᏂᎩᏚᏩᎩ Relocation and Reunification in Oklahoma: Economic, Political, and Social Transformations

Future aspirations post-Stanford: After Stanford, I hope to serve my community in whatever capacity they need. I plan to continue my education to deepen my understanding of law and public policy, equipping myself to advocate for my community in both political and legal spaces. Above all, I am committed to centering Indigenous voices in academia, politics, and popular culture, ensuring our perspectives shape the conversations that impact our future.

A fun fact about yourself: A fun fact about me is that in 2021, I retraced my community’s forced removal from North Carolina to Oklahoma on the 1,000-mile Remember the Removal bike ride, which took a month to complete. Along the route, I advocated for an honest retelling of our history — moving beyond sugar-coated narratives to recenter the truth about the Trail of Tears. I continue to support new cohorts in their training and hope to take part in the ride again someday.

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Stanford, CA 94305-6055

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Ricky is a Social Science Research Professional at the Deliberative Democracy Lab, where he helps generate insights from Deliberative Polling events around the world. He studied Public Policy at Duke University and is interested in policy related to human development — democracy, economic security, and social welfare. His current work involves data preparation and workflow automation.

Social Science Research Professional, Deliberative Democracy Lab
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The phrase “rule of law” travels easily across borders and languages. In speeches by presidents and popes, in the communiqués of the United Nations and the European Union, it signals something foundational: Law should be general, publicly promulgated, prospective rather than retroactive, and applied by impartial decision-makers. Yet in the United States—arguably the world’s most legalistic society—the words “rule of law” stir surprisingly little everyday passion. Ask a Colombian or Chilean law student what stands between democracy and dictatorship and she may invoke el Estado de Derecho (the rule of law). Ask an American law student and you are more likely to hear a different phrase—the due process of law. Right on point, Professor Steve Vladeck recently argued that it is not a “stretch to suggest that due process is what separates democratic legal systems from . . . less democratic legal systems.” This rule of law versus due process divergence is not accidental; it reflects two distinct historical experiences with threats to constitutional democracy and different visions about how best to conceptualize freedom.

In this Essay, I argue that Americans think fundamentally differently about constitutional threats than do their counterparts in Eastern Europe and Latin America. While Americans have developed a robust conception of due process, rooted in centuries of stable institutional development, they rarely consider constitutional problems through the “rule of law” lens that dominates post-authoritarian societies. This conceptual difference has practical consequences: Elites in post-authoritarian countries are attuned to systemic threats to democratic institutions, while Americans may struggle to respond to wholesale attacks on constitutional governance because their conceptual framework emphasizes process over institutional preservation.

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Symposium – Executive Overreach and the Rule of Law in Trump II

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Stanford Law Review
Authors
Diego A. Zambrano
Number
July 2025
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Research on reentry has documented how material hardship, network dynamics, and carceral governance impede reintegration after prison, but existing scholarship has left underdeveloped other instances in which adverse outcomes stem from the institution's socioemotional dynamics and people's practical and emotional responses to bureaucratic indignities. Drawing on more than 2 years of ethnographic fieldwork with people on parole in Philadelphia, this study analyzes three sources of adversity that occur because reentry institutions’ or actors’ practices are incompatible with the behaviors and needs of system-involved people. I demonstrate how unrecognized vulnerability, discretion's benefits and drawbacks, and risk-escalating rules contribute to adverse outcomes—withdrawal and rule-breaking—that sometimes lead to reincarceration. In failing to account for aspects of human agency and dignity, such as the ability to provide for oneself and to advance personal and familial well-being, parole guidelines often prompted withdrawal and subversion.

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Criminology
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Gillian Slee
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Argument & Key Findings


The system of reentry institutions — including halfway houses, parole agencies, and housing assistance programs — can be extremely complicated for formerly incarcerated persons (FIPs) to navigate. These complications are not merely logistical, but also social and emotional: the ways in which FIPs interact with reentry institutions can affect their sense of belonging, dignity, and prosperity. When the rules and practices of reentry institutions undermine these needs, it becomes more likely that participants will violate rules, withdraw from the institutions altogether, or find themselves reincarcerated. 

In “Home But Not Free,” Gillian Slee offers a rich analysis of these socioemotional dynamics. The paper both increases our knowledge of reentry processes and deepens our understanding of FIPs and reentry staff. Previous scholars have focused more on how adverse outcomes stem from reentry institutions prioritizing surveillance or control. Slee pushes forward this conversation by highlighting how adverse outcomes also stem from failures to acknowledge and support the dignity of FIPs.

Slee’s paper is informed by over two years of ethnographic fieldwork with FIPs in Philadelphia. This includes observing over 200 appointments at a housing assistance program, analyzing more than 130 files of program participants, and both observing and assisting with programming at a women’s halfway house. 
 


Reentry institutions and their staff often fail to recognize or respond to the constraints and vulnerabilities faced by FIPs. These failures can undermine the dignity of FIPs and provoke their withdrawal from such institutions.


Three Mechanisms:


The core of the paper centers on Slee’s elaboration of three mechanisms that link socioemotional concepts, such as indignity, to outcomes like withdrawal or reincarceration. Each mechanism is clarified through a range of examples and case studies.

1. Unrecognized vulnerability:

Reentry institutions and their staff often fail to recognize or respond to the constraints and vulnerabilities faced by FIPs. These failures can undermine the dignity of FIPs and provoke their withdrawal from such institutions. In the realm of housing assistance, the Philadelphia program requires that rent falls between 30% and 45% of participants’ income. However, this is often unrealistic given the difficulties of finding fairly priced units or securing gainful employment with a felony conviction. Accordingly, FIPs must seek low-quality units or roommates. Yet most participants do not want roommates because it reminds them of being incarcerated. Participants are thus presented with an undignified set of choices. The program restrictions mean that many FIPs cannot or will not utilize housing assistance programs, deepening their sense of instability.

Another source of vulnerability concerns the mismatch between FIPs’ expectations and the realities of frontline bureaucracy. For example, many housing assistance programs have too few staff, some of whom struggle to juggle appointments or return phone calls. Because reentry staff are overburdened, they may ask participants to pick up the slack by searching for housing units. Yet many FIPs lack the requisite know-how, for example, calling about units too frequently or too early in the morning. Others may show up hours early for their appointments, in the process annoying reentry staff. Yet participants are not coached on how to improve these behaviors, leading to neglect. Other FIPs must learn that the majority of units are listed online as opposed to in newspapers, incurring the mockery from reentry staff in the process. 

A final source of vulnerability concerns participants’ lack of efficacy — the sense that their efforts make little difference or are inadequate. Reentry staff may have high expectations of people who feel “cryogenically frozen in time” (p. 32) because of years of incarceration. Some are unable to use modern cell phones or have no rental history.
 


A final source of vulnerability concerns participants’ lack of efficacy — the sense that their efforts make little difference or are inadequate.


2. Discretion’s Benefits and Drawbacks:

The discretion exercised by reentry staff introduces difficult choices for participants, forcing them to choose between (a) following the rules and becoming socially isolated or (b) breaking the rules and developing social connections. For example, some halfway houses are restrictive about time spent outside of the house. Participants who abide by the rules may miss out on socially important events, like a child’s basketball game. Some FIPs may lie about or conceal where they live in order to deal with less intrusive parole agents. Others may cross state lines to pursue important career opportunities. One participant parked their mobile home outside of the parole district lines because it was less expensive and easier than seeking alternative units, but these kinds of ‘rational’ behaviors cannot be accommodated. Discretion is a highly variable attribute: some reentry staff cancel meetings and inconvenience participants, while others remember individuals’ needs and accommodate them. Those who expect more discretion than they receive may break the rules out of frustration. Ultimately, discretion and its absence can provoke a host of socioemotional problems.
 


Instead of preventing noncompliance, program rules may serve to encourage it when they undermine participants’ sense of dignity.


3. Risk-Escalating Rules:

Instead of preventing noncompliance, program rules may serve to encourage it when they undermine participants’ sense of dignity. For example, 29 states prohibit associating with other FIPs, yet many participants have friends or family supervised by the system; as such, people violate the rules in order to preserve meaningful relationships. Some FIPs are faced with painful dilemmas, for example, choosing between living in halfway houses where drug use is common or breaking the rules by leaving. Others report using cocaine instead of marijuana because the latter can be detected in their bloodstream for much longer. Some halfway houses mandate spending a certain number of hours inside the house, but this leads to participants being unable to work multiple jobs to support themselves, a clear violation of their dignity.

For many FIPs in uncomfortable halfway houses, they cannot be placed in another house unless they break the rules of their existing house; some consider breaking the rules for the sake of their well-being, even though doing so might land them under even more restrictive supervision. One participant was refused permission to live in a camper that he could afford because the camper’s mobility posed a flight risk. Another participant broke the rules by traveling out of state because her son’s father had cancer, and a reentry professional later told her to return in a rather threatening way. The rules of reentry institutions thus incentivized FIPs to make very risky choices.
 


By highlighting socioemotional concepts — especially (in)dignity — as central to the experiences of formerly incarcerated persons, Slee shows how the rules and practices of reentry institutions can undermine reintegration.


By highlighting socioemotional concepts — especially (in)dignity — as central to the experiences of formerly incarcerated persons, Slee shows how the rules and practices of reentry institutions can undermine reintegration. Addressing sources of vulnerability and counterproductive rules may help reform reentry institutions in more humane and effective ways.

*Research-in-Brief prepared by Adam Fefer.

 
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CDDRL Research-in-Brief [4-minute read]

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