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Emmanuel Navon webinar

French-born Israeli political scientist, author, and foreign policy expert, Emmanuel Navon is the author of several books, including The Star and the Scepter: A Diplomatic History of Israel, published in 2020 and which has since been translated into French, Hebrew, Italian, Japanese, and Mandarin. A comprehensive, historically informed survey of Israel's external relations, The Star and the Scepter provides a unique vantage point from which to explore the past, present, and possible futures of Israel's place in the world. Join Amichai Magen in conversation with Emmanuel Navon.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Dr. Emmanuel Navon lectures in International Relations at Tel Aviv University, is a Senior Fellow at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security (JISS) and is a foreign affairs analyst for i24news. The author of four books, he has published in leading IR journals, and his commentary has appeared in outlets such as Le Monde and Newsweek. Previously, Navon served as CEO of ELNET-Israel, a public-policy think tank. Dr. Navon was born in Paris, France, and was educated in a bilingual (French/English) school. He graduated in public administration from Sciences-Po. In 1993 he moved to Israel and earned a Ph.D. in international relations from the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

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Amichai Magen
Amichai Magen

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Emmanuel Navon
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Ksenia Svetlova webinar

What has been Israel’s understanding and response to Russia’s assault on Ukraine? How did the Russia-Ukraine war impact Israeli national security and foreign policy? And what strategic lessons should Israel derive from the Russia-Ukraine war for its own national security? Join former Member of Knesset, Ksenia Svetlova, in conversation with Or Rabinowitz.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Ksenia Svetlova is an Executive Director of ROPES – The Regional Organization for Peace, Economics and Security, an associate fellow at Chatham House, London and a former member of the Israeli Knesset. She focuses on issues of Israeli-Palestinian conflict, Israeli-Arab relations, Russian influence in the Middle East, as well as the regional and international relations of the Middle East. Svetlova has covered the Middle East for fifteen years for Israeli and International media. She reported from Gaza, West Bank, Syria, Lebanon, Egypt, Jordan, Tunisia and Libya. 

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Or Rabinowitz

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Ksenia Svetlova
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Israel Studies
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After a distinguished career in law, public policy, and broadcasting in her native Toronto, Vivian Bercovici served as Canada's Ambassador to Israel from 2014 to 2016. She then made Aliyah, becoming an Israeli citizen and settling in Tel-Aviv. Over the past decade, Bercovici has become a leading commentator on Israeli society and politics, foreign policy, and Israel-Diaspora relations. In February 2023, she founded the State of Tel-Aviv podcast and newsletter. After the October 7th Hamas terrorist attack, Vivian Bercovici moved to Kibbutz Ruchama in the south of Israel, renaming her podcast State of Tel-Aviv and Beyond. Join Amichai Magen in conversation with Vivian Bercovici.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Vivian Bercovici served as Canada’s Ambassador to Israel from 2014-16 and, in a short time, established herself as a strong, articulate, and forceful commentator and leader on Israeli politics, foreign policy relationships, and the business environment. Prior to her appointment by former PM Stephen Harper as Ambassador, Vivian practiced law in Toronto for 24 years. She was actively involved in the dynamic Jewish community in Toronto, wrote a column on Israel-related issues in The Toronto Star, and taught as an adjunct professor at the University of Toronto Faculty of Law. She currently resides in Israel and is engaged in private business ventures as well as public speaking on issues related to the Middle East, with a particular focus on Israel. 

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Amichai Magen
Amichai Magen

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Vivian Bercovici
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Climate Resilience and Local Governmental Policy: Lessons from Los Angeles and Tel Aviv

Climate Resilience and Local Governmental Policy: Lessons from Los Angeles and Tel Aviv" was a two-day conference at Stanford University on May 29–30, 2025. The conference, hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL) and the Environmental Social Sciences department at Stanford’s Doerr School of Sustainability, explored how Los Angeles and Tel Aviv are addressing climate resilience through local policy, equity, and innovation.

Table of Contents:


Day 1:


Opening Session: Los Angeles and Tel Aviv-Yafo: The Urgency of Climate Resilience

  • Introduction: Alon Tal, Conference Chair, Stanford University / Tel Aviv University (p. 3)
  • Presentations:
    • Nancy Sutley, Los Angeles City Council’s Deputy Mayor of Energy and Sustainability (p. 6)
    • Prof. Noah Efron, Tel Aviv City council member; Chair, Tel Aviv-Yafo Municipal Environmental Protection Committee (p. 12)


Panel 1: Water Management in Water Scarce Cities: Combatting Droughts and Ensuring Supply (p. 18)

Panel 2: Health, Trees, and Thermal Comfort: Urban Strategies (p. 19)

Panel 3a: Financing Climate Resilience in Local Government (p. 20)

Panel 3b: Preparing for Sea Level Rise – Local Strategies (p. 21)

Panel 4: Forest Fire Prevention, Cities and the Climate Crisis  (p. 23)

Day 2:


Panel 5: Climate Justice: Identifying and Protecting Vulnerable Populations in Urban Environments (p. 25)

Panel 6a: Civil Society’s Role in Promoting Climate Resilience (p. 27)

Panel 6b: The Role of Climate Technologies in Local Climate Adaptation Strategies (p. 29)

Panel 7: Urban Climate Resilience Programs and Public Policy: What’s Next? (p. 30)

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Tragedy, Triumph, or Both? Israel After Two Years of War — Webinar with Nadav Eyal

Join us for a special webinar marking two years since the October 7th Hamas attack on Israel and the subsequent multi-front war in the Middle East. The webinar will examine the impact of the ongoing conflict, assess the major geopolitical shifts that have unfolded in the region in the past two years, and identify scenarios for how the war might end. Featuring Amichai Magen, Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies, in conversation with Nadav Eyal, Senior Columnist at Israel's largest daily newspaper, Yedioth Ahronoth.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Nadav Eyal is one of Israel's most prominent journalists and a winner of the Sokolov Award — Israel's equivalent of the Pulitzer Prize. He writes columns for Yediot Ahronot and Ynet. Beginning on October 7, 2023, he has focused his work on the massacres perpetrated in Israel and the subsequent war in Gaza and the northern border of Israel. He also serves as a senior commentator for Israel’s Channel 12. Eyal authored the bestseller REVOLT, the Worldwide Uprising Against Globalization. In 2023, Eyal published HOW DEMOCRACY WINS (if it does). Eyal has held senior positions in major Israeli media groups and interviewed Israeli prime ministers and foreign heads of state. He is the chairman of the Movement for Freedom of Information, an Israeli NGO dedicated to promoting transparency and accountability, aiming to foster a more open, democratic, and accountable society. He earned an MSc in Global Politics from the London School of Economics and Political Science (with merit) as a Chevening Scholar and an LL.B. from Hebrew University (magna cum laude). He received the B'nai B'rith World Center Award for Journalism.

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Amichai Magen
Amichai Magen

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Nadav Eyal
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Both Southern California and Israel suffered disastrous wildfires this year.

In January, the Palisades and Eaton fires in Los Angeles killed 29 people and destroyed thousands of buildings, spurring a United Nations report titled “Once-in-a-generation events now happen frequently.”

In late April, a huge wildfire in central Israel threatened Jerusalem, caused nearby towns to evacuate and led to a national emergency.

The fires are just one example of the devastating effects of climate change experienced by California and Israel, said Alon Tal, an environmental scholar, former Knesset member and part of the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program at Stanford University’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law, which co-hosted the conference.

Read the full story from J. The Jewish News of Northern California.

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The gathering included a tour of the Stanford Central Energy Facility
The gathering included a tour of the Stanford Central Energy Facility.
Rod Searcey
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More than 200 academics and political leaders met last week at Stanford for “Climate Resilience and Local Governmental Policy: Lessons from Los Angeles and Tel Aviv,” a groundbreaking conference organized by CDDRL's Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program.

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At the 2025 Daniel Pearl Memorial Lecture, journalist and author Amir Tibon discussed how his family survived Hamas’ invasion from Gaza into Israel on Saturday, October 7, 2023, the history of Israeli-Gazan relations, as well as scenarios for the future of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

“Rockets are falling,” Tibon said, reading a portion of his new book, The Gates of Gaza: A Story of Betrayal, Survival, and Home in Israel's Borderlands. “We [Amir Tibon, his wife Miri, and their two infant daughters] are locked in this room inside our house. We certainly had never heard a bullet cracking through a window and hitting a wall inside a sealed house. Let alone our house. But that's exactly what we were now hearing.”

In the May 12 discussion with Larry Diamond, Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Tibon described that harrowing day and the heroic account of how his father, retired Major General Noam Tibon, fought his way into Kibbutz Nahal-Oz, and eventually helped rescue the family.

The Daniel Pearl Memorial Lecture honors the life of Daniel Pearl (Class of '85), who was a journalist, musician, and family man dedicated to the ideals of peace and humanity. In 2002, Daniel was kidnapped and killed by terrorists in Pakistan while working as a foreign correspondent for the Wall Street Journal. The event was hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law.

An audience of nearly 200 guests filled Bechtel Conference Center to hear Tibon speak.
An audience of nearly 200 guests filled Bechtel Conference Center to hear Tibon speak. | Rod Searcey

‘Keep the girls calm and quiet’


For almost 10 hours on October 7, Tibon and his wife and daughters listened to the sounds of gunfire and rockets outside, while monitoring Hamas atrocities on their phones and sending desperate SOS messages from their darkened safe room. 

Tibon said, “We had only one advantage, which is that we could hear them, we could hear their bullets, we could hear their shouting, and if we managed to keep the girls calm and quiet, they wouldn't hear us. And so that was our mission, to keep the girls calm and quiet.” 

They did, waiting until about 4:00 pm when the family was eventually freed by Tibon’s father, who drove with his mother from Tel Aviv to rescue the besieged family. Along the way, his parents made key decisions to rescue wounded Israelis by taking them to the hospital.

Learning later on about his parents’ dangerous foray into a war zone — and the aid they offered along the way — Tibon gained a deeper insight about saving those in grave peril. This informs his moral stance on prioritizing the rescue of the remaining 58 hostages — alive and dead — still held by Hamas in Gaza, over the competing priority of dismantling Hamas as a military and governing organization:

“When I look today at the dilemma of the state of Israel, whether to continue the war after 20 months or to stop in order to save those who need immediate saving, I don't see a dilemma. You save those who need immediate saving, and then you continue the mission,” said Tibon, focusing on the fates of the approximately 20 living Israeli hostages still held in Gaza.

When Diamond asked him about the word “betrayal” in the book’s subtitle, Tibon said the dual meaning of the term is a conscious one. The word “betrayal” reflects two concepts — the failure of the Israeli government, military, and intelligence services to heed early danger warnings about a Hamas attack, and the disappointment about their neighbors in Gaza, with whom they had for years worked with on peace and reconciliation issues. 

He recalled kibbutz members who volunteered to take cancer patients from Gaza in their cars to Israeli hospitals so they could receive optimal medical treatments.

“This was a peace-seeking community that, for many years, advocated for peace and reconciliation,” he said.

Following the conversation, Tibon took questions from the audience.
Following the conversation, Tibon took questions from the audience. | Rod Searcey

As for accountability, Tibon emphasized the need for Israel to launch an independent and professional investigation into the October 7 catastrophe through a State Commission of Inquiry. Such an inquiry would examine the causes of the strategic, intelligence, defensive, and operational breakdowns experienced by Israel before, during, and after the attack, and would establish who was responsible for the multiple failures. 

“This is the strongest tool in the Israeli system for investigating failures of the state. It's a commission established by the government, headed by a former judge, that has all the powers of a seated court to invite witnesses and investigate,” he added, noting that the current government has not yet approved such an endeavor, despite about 70-85 percent of Israelis supporting such a commission.

Tibon said, “The government is refusing to do it because they are afraid of what will come out.”

‘Shifted public opinion’


The October 7 Hamas terrorist attack marked a major, and rather peculiar, shift in domestic Israeli politics, Tibon said.

“It shifted public opinion on the conflict to the right because there is a lack of belief in the peace process after this kind of thing. And at the same time, it significantly weakened the current right-wing government, which in all the public opinion polls is losing a lot of support,” he said.

He explained that this trend reveals that Israelis currently do not believe in a peace process and that they perceive an existential need to defend their families and homeland. 

At the same time, Israelis want a serious and competent government, and the existing right-leaning government is not viewed as such.

“We have to be led and managed by competent, serious people, and this government is not considered competent or serious by most of the Israeli public for obvious reasons,” he said.
 


Forever wars may be good for religious preachers, but they're not good for border communities. Border communities need to reach an end and go back and rebuild.
Amir Tibon


In his book, Tibon expresses deep empathy for the people who are suffering in Gaza, and he reflects on another subtitle, “hope.”

Hope can begin, he said, with saving the Israeli hostages and then ending the war. “Forever wars may be good for religious preachers, but they're not good for border communities. Border communities need to reach an end and go back and rebuild,” said Tibon.

He cited a Polish poet, who once wrote that after every war, somebody has to clean up. “We are the ones who are going to have to clean up and fix our own houses,” he said.

Tibon is an award-winning diplomatic correspondent for Haaretz, an Israeli newspaper. His story and book, The Gates of Gaza, was featured on 60 Minutes.

He, his wife, and daughters are currently living in temporary housing in north-central Israel.  

Diamond said, “This is a story of remarkable courage and tenacity from many quarters in the face of unspeakable terror and potentially paralyzing fear. It is quintessentially an Israeli story.”

A full recording of the conversation can be viewed here.

The 2025 Daniel Pearl Memorial Lecture was presented by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program in partnership with the Daniel Pearl Foundation, the Taube Center for Jewish Studies, and Hillel at Stanford

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Yoav Heller presented during a Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies winter webinar.
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Dr. Yoav Heller on Rebuilding Centrist Politics and Uniting Israelis

Dr. Heller, founder of the Fourth Quarter, discussed how grassroots centrist movements can overcome identity-driven polarization in Israel by fostering unity, especially in the wake of national tragedy, and emphasized the need for long-term internal peace-building and reimagining Israeli society’s future.
Dr. Yoav Heller on Rebuilding Centrist Politics and Uniting Israelis
Ambassador Stuart E. Eizenstat discusses diplomacy during a seminar hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program.
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Ambassador Stuart E. Eizenstat on the Art of Diplomacy

In a seminar hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program, Eizenstat explored why diplomats succeed or fail, drawing from his firsthand experience with world leaders.
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Eugene Kandel presents via Zoom in a webinar hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Program.
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Eugene Kandel on Tackling Israel’s Internal Existential Risks

Kandel's talk with Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies Amichai Magen focused on his work at the Israel Strategic Futures Institute (ISFI) in diagnosing what he and his colleagues identify as internal existential risks for Israel and the policy ideas generated by ISFI in response to those risks.
Eugene Kandel on Tackling Israel’s Internal Existential Risks
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Journalist and author Amir Tibon spoke with Larry Diamond at the May 12 event.
Journalist and author Amir Tibon spoke with Larry Diamond at the May 12 event.
Rod Searcey
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Journalist Amir Tibon shared his family’s story of survival, betrayal, and hope for peace with a Stanford audience, while also offering insights on contemporary Israeli politics.

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As the global climate crisis accelerates, cities around the world are grappling with an increasingly urgent question: how can local governments protect communities, infrastructure, and ecosystems from the rising tide of environmental disruption? This May, Stanford University will bring that question to the forefront with a landmark event examining how two dynamic and diverse cities — Los Angeles and Tel Aviv-Yafo — are responding to the climate challenge from the ground up.

Taking place May 29–30, 2025, and hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL) and the Environmental Social Sciences department at Stanford’s Doerr School of Sustainability, Climate Resilience and Local Governmental Policy: Lessons from Los Angeles and Tel Aviv will be the largest academic conference ever held on Israel’s climate policy. The two-day event will convene experts from both cities to explore how local institutions are building equitable, sustainable, and adaptive systems to confront growing environmental risks.
 


This is not just a policy conversation. This is about how we prepare our communities for an uncertain future.
Alon Tal
Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies (FSI); Conference Chair


A Pivotal Moment for Climate Policy


In early May, Israel faced its second major wildfire in a month, as flames tore through the woodlands around Jerusalem, forcing the shutdown of the central region and the cancellation of Independence Day celebrations. Conference Chair, Professor Alon Tal, Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies and a leading environmental advocate, explained that once a rare occurrence, such fires have become far more frequent, reflecting a broader international pattern.

“In the past, fires of this magnitude maybe happened once a decade,” Tal noted. “But like California, Israel’s fire service now reports a tripling of high-risk fire days — ultra-dry conditions paired with high winds. This is an international phenomenon. This past year, Canadian fires destroyed 45 million acres of woodlands — seven times the annual average. Israel has received a wake-up call about the impacts of the climate crisis.”

Across two days of programming, the conference will bring together 25 Israeli experts to discuss potential solutions alongside colleagues from Los Angeles and California. “This is not just a policy conversation. This is about how we prepare our communities for an uncertain future,” Tal said. “Both Los Angeles and Tel Aviv are confronting real environmental risks, but they also have the innovation ecosystems and civic infrastructure needed to respond creatively. We have a lot to learn from studying them side by side.”

Comparing Los Angeles and Tel Aviv offers scholars and policymakers unique insights, Tal believes. “These are two of the most creative cities in the world. They both have thriving tech sectors and liberal city governments with resources and professional expertise. At the same time, they face comparable challenges: they are both dryland cities on rising coastlines, where heat waves are becoming more treacherous. Bringing their top experts together at Stanford has tremendous merit.”

Rethinking Climate Governance at the City Level


Tal emphasized that local governments are increasingly bearing the burden of climate adaptation, especially in societies marked by inequality and demographic complexity. “The changing climate brings new challenges that cities need to be ready for. And they aren’t,” he said. “Most people live in cities — they need the tools (and the budget) to reduce new risks. The LA fires have left enormous human suffering in their wake, just like the climate-driven floods in New Orleans, Houston, and New York City did. So, the question is: what steps should cities take proactively to avert disasters and maintain stability?”

While Tal emphasized the immediate environmental threats, Larry Diamond, Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) and director of the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program, framed the discussion within a broader governance context. “It is often said that ‘all politics is local,’ and there is a policy corollary to that. While we need national policies and international coordination to reduce fossil fuel emissions and accelerate the transition to renewable energy, the challenges of climate adaptation and resilience are also deeply local and must be met at that level. This is a great opportunity for all of us to learn from two cities on the front lines of the challenge in our respective countries — Tel Aviv and Los Angeles.”
 


This is a great opportunity for all of us to learn from two cities on the front lines of the [climate adaptation] challenge in our respective countries — Tel Aviv and Los Angeles.
Larry Diamond
Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy (FSI); Director, Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program



A Vision for Collaborative Learning


The event also reflects the broader goals of Stanford’s Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program, launched in 2023 to foster cross-disciplinary analysis of Israel and its unique position as a regional influence and geopolitical actor. The program appoints an Israel-based scholar to serve as a visiting fellow at FSI for a recurring three-year term. The fellow will teach courses related to some aspect of Israel’s politics, society, economy, modern history, technological development, and/or regional or international relations, as well as advise students and collaborate with faculty interested in Israel and the Middle East.

Diamond emphasized the significance of the conference in fulfilling the program’s mission. “One of our key goals in the Israel Studies Program is to engage scholars, policymakers, and civil society leaders in Israel, not only individually but collectively based on their expertise. And we seek to promote functional and scholarly interaction and mutual learning. This conference is a historic opportunity to advance this mission in the realm of climate resilience.”

Tal also highlighted the significance of hosting the conference at Stanford. “Stanford has become the world’s leading academic center for researching critical ecological problems like biodiversity and climate change. The Doerr School of Sustainability and the involvement of Nobel laureate Steven Chu as a keynote speaker make this an unparalleled opportunity for collaboration.”

 

Alon Tal and Larry Diamond
Alon Tal and Larry Diamond

Building a Lasting Impact


Tal hopes the conference will catalyze new approaches to addressing climate impacts. “It’s clear that new environmental conditions require new strategies and technologies. Seeing practical solutions firsthand is crucial, but they don’t matter without policies that enable cities to step up their climate mitigation game. Success stories need to be shared.”

The conference outcomes will be documented in a special issue of the academic journal Sustainability, ensuring that insights resonate beyond the event itself. “By focusing on urban policies and highlighting both successes and failures, we aim to chart pathways for cities to live with global warming while mitigating emissions to address the root causes,” Tal said.

Diamond further expressed his hopes for the conference’s impact. “We hope participants will not only take away specific ideas and strategies from the two cities and countries but also connections that can be of mutual practical value going forward. We want to underscore that Israel and California, with their similar climates and start-up cultures, have a particularly rich set of possibilities for collaboration and mutual learning.”

Community members and members of the public are invited to participate in this pivotal conversation. To view the full agenda and register, visit the conference website.

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Tzipi Livni speaks at a lunch time event with Stanford faculty and students.
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FSI's Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies Reflects on What Lies Ahead for Israel and the Middle East

The October 7, 2023, attack by Hamas has already indelibly altered Israel and the Middle East, and will continue to reverberate for decades to come, says Amichai Magen, a fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies.
FSI's Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies Reflects on What Lies Ahead for Israel and the Middle East
Alon Tal joins the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studeis as a Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies
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Alon Tal Joins the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies Program at FSI

Professor Tal’s expertise in sustainability and public policy will offer students valuable insight into the intersection of climate change issues and politics in the Middle East.
Alon Tal Joins the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies Program at FSI
Larry Diamond, Or Rabinowitz, Yonatan Eyov, and Amichai Magen in discussion in the Bechtel Conference Center at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies at Stanford University.
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Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies Program is in Full Swing at FSI

The program aims to foster cross-disciplinary analysis of Israel and its unique position as a regional influence and geopolitical actor.
Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies Program is in Full Swing at FSI
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Side-by-side of Los Angeles and Tel Aviv skylines.
Los Angeles and Tel Aviv skylines.
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The two-day conference, “Climate Resilience and Local Governmental Policy: Lessons from Los Angeles and Tel Aviv,” will take place May 29-30, and is hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL) and the Environmental Social Sciences department at Stanford’s Doerr School of Sustainability.

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As part of its 2025 Winter Webinar Series, the Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL) hosted a webinar featuring Dr. Yoav Heller in conversation with Amichai Magen. Heller is founder and Chairman of The Fourth Quarter, a grassroots Israeli civil society initiative dedicated to rebuilding centrist politics and generating a cohesive vision for Israeli society. 

Raised in Nigeria, the United States, and Northern Israel, Heller always held a dream of bringing together disparate communities. Heller noted that conflict between Hamas and Israel in May 2021 saw ensuing rifts between Arab-Israelis and Jewish-Israelis, though Magen argued that not only did Arab-Israelis largely ignore Hamas’s encouragement to attack their Jewish neighbors, but that Israeli-Arabs felt more connected to Israel than ever after the October 7th Hamas attack, which targeted Christian and Muslim Arab-Israelis, as well as Jews. Heller also argued that top-down politics increasingly fail to address core societal concerns in the country, as politicians focus on the limited desires of their interest groups, and, because of polarization, aim for zero sum. Thus, he founded The Fourth Quarter.

Heller argued that current polarization in Israel is not primarily over policy, but over identity. Ideologically, Israelis are becoming less polarized, but their emotional attachments to their identity keep them at odds. Heller cited research showing that although Israelis claim unwillingness to compromise on policy because they feel they would be compromising their identities, when presented with concrete compromises, they express acceptance of those compromises.

Pointing to Mancur Olson’s theory that says small groups with narrow political agendas tend to defeat broad groups with disparate agendas, Magen asked how The Fourth Quarter will incentivize politicians’ focus on shared interests. Heller responded that citizen buy-in is imminent, as tragedy brings people together and leads to centrism. In this case, October 7 showed Israelis that Israel broke its promise to never again see mass murder of Jews. Political change, however, will take time. Israel needs new leaders who will come from the grassroots movement. Already, there are 300 diverse leaders throughout Israel working to build up The Fourth Quarter’s following from diverse populations.

During the Q&A, Heller discussed foreign relations. He noted that The Fourth Quarter does not have official foreign policy positions or positions on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. However, Heller says the word “peace” must reenter Israeli discourse. Long-term peace activism, rather than quickly implementing patchwork solutions, will achieve peace. 

Heller ended by saying that hope means imagining a better future and taking actions to achieve it. He cited The Fourth Quarter’s About page, which starts, “After Israel’s establishment, Ben Gurion was asked if he was satisfied … He answered: Ask me when the State of Israel is 75 years old. Or when the children born then no longer meet Holocaust survivors or the founding generation. At that point, assuring the righteousness of our path will require redefinition, based not on what was, but on what will be.”

A full recording of the conversation can be viewed below.

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Eugene Kandel presents via Zoom in a webinar hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Program.
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Eugene Kandel on Tackling Israel’s Internal Existential Risks

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Ari Shavit
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Ari Shavit on Israel's Existential War

Shavit, in conversation with FSI Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies Amichai Magen, discussed the threats Israel faces — particularly from Iran and its proxies — while reassessing historical defense doctrines and the evolving regional landscape, including the future of Gaza.
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Yoav Heller presented during a Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies winter webinar.
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Dr. Heller, founder of the Fourth Quarter, discussed how grassroots centrist movements can overcome identity-driven polarization in Israel by fostering unity, especially in the wake of national tragedy, and emphasized the need for long-term internal peace-building and reimagining Israeli society’s future.

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Since its independence from French colonial rule in 1943, Lebanon has been a perennial bellwether of major geopolitical trends in the modern Middle East. Strategically located, populated by a diverse patchwork of ethnic and religious groups, and often too weak to fend off external interference, Lebanon is the quintessential arena for order contestation in the region. With the weakening of Iran-backed Hezbollah inside Lebanon, the fall of the Assad regime in Syria, and an uneasy ceasefire with Israel, can Lebanon turn the corner towards improved governance, stability, and perhaps even peace? This panel will explore what current dynamics in Lebanon can teach us about the actors and forces shaping the Land of the Cedars, as well as the wider Middle East. 

ABOUT THE SPEAKERS

Hanin Ghaddar is the Friedmann Senior Fellow in The Washington Institute's Linda and Tony Rubin Program on Arab Politics. Her research focuses on Shia politics, Hezbollah, and Lebanon. The longtime managing editor of Lebanon's NOW news website, Ghaddar shed light on a broad range of cutting-edge issues, from the evolution of Hezbollah inside Lebanon's fractured political system to Iran's growing influence throughout the Middle East. Prior to joining NOW in 2007, Ghaddar wrote for the Lebanese newspapers As-Safir, An-Nahar, and Al-Hayat, and also worked as a researcher for the United Nations Development Program regional office. She is the author of the book “Hezbollahland.”

Abbas Milani is the Hamid and Christina Moghadam Director of Iranian Studies at Stanford University, one of the founding co-directors of the Iran Democracy Project and a research fellow at the Hoover Institution. His expertise includes U.S.-Iran relations as well as Iranian cultural, political, and security issues.

Amichai Magen is the Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies at Stanford University's Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. In Israel, he is a Senior Lecturer (US Associate Professor), Head of the MA Program in Diplomacy & Conflict Studies, and Director of the Program on Democratic Resilience and Development (PDRD) at the Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy, Reichman University. His research and teaching interests address democracy, the rule of law, liberal orders, risk and political violence.

Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to Encina Hall E409 (Goldman Conference Room) may attend in person. Virtual to Public. 

Hanin Ghaddar
Amichai Magen
Abbas Milani
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