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On Wednesday, February 11, the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program (JKISP) at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law hosted Karnit Flug, former Governor of the Bank of Israel, for a conversation moderated by JKISP director Amichai Magen. Examining the Israeli economy's current condition and long-term prospects, Flug argued that despite its demonstrated resilience, Israel faces expanding structural challenges that could undermine future growth, which she called "gray rhinos": highly probable but insufficiently addressed risks. They included slowing productivity, widening gaps in education and labor force participation, chronic underinvestment in infrastructure, and weakened governance and institutions. She discussed how demographic trends, such as the expanding share of the population receiving inadequate core education, threaten economic sustainability, and how political instability and erosion of institutional credibility discourage investment. Flug concluded that averting long-term economic stagnation requires renewed policy focus on education, institutional strength, infrastructure development, and inclusive growth.

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Israel Insights Webinar with Oded Ailam — Hamas, Israel, and the West: Why This Conflict Matters Far Beyond Gaza

Wednesday, February 25, 10:00 am PT. Click to register.
Israel Insights Webinar with Oded Ailam — Hamas, Israel, and the West: Why This Conflict Matters Far Beyond Gaza
Alon Tal and Amichai Magen
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Israel's Much Anticipated 2026 Elections: A Guide to the Perplexed

Alon Tal, a former member of the Knesset, discusses Israeli democracy and the upcoming elections with Amichai Magen, Director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at CDDRL.
Israel's Much Anticipated 2026 Elections: A Guide to the Perplexed
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Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History

Dr. Emmanuel Navon, author of “The Star and the Scepter,” explored the enduring tension between realism and idealism in Jewish diplomacy and the paradigm shift following October 7.
Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History
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Former Governor of the Bank of Israel Karnit Flug examines growth, governance, and the structural risks facing Israel.

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The U.S.-Israel military aid framework is defined by a 10-year Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) for fiscal years 2019–2028, providing $38 billion ($3.3B annual Foreign Military Financing + $500M annual missile defense). This aid helps fund Israeli defense imports and joint U.S.-Israel projects like the Iron Dome missile defense system, but also provides the U.S. security establishment with unique access to Israeli defense tech. As we near the end of the current MOU, American and Israeli officials have begun discussions over the future of U.S.-Israel military innovation cooperation and financing. Recent developments suggest that the relationship may undergo substantial changes after 2028. The 2026 National Defense Strategy issued by the Pentagon, for example, describes Israel as a "model ally" — a skilled and fiscally responsible partner, bringing substantial national security benefits to the U.S. At the same time, in a recent interview with The Economist, Israeli Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, declared he intends to wean Israel off U.S. military aid entirely over the next 10 years. What factors influence U.S.-Israel security cooperation and long-term defense finance planning? How might these relations evolve over the coming decade in a world increasingly defined by war and potential great power conflict? Join former U.S. Ambassador to Israel, Daniel Shapiro, for a conversation about these essential questions.

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Ambassador Daniel B. Shapiro is a distinguished fellow with the Atlantic Council’s Scowcroft Middle East Security Initiative. From 2022 to 2023, he was the Director of the N7 Initiative.

In his most recent government service, Shapiro was Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for the Middle East from 2024 to 2025, and prior to that was Senior Adviser on Regional Integration in the State Department’s Bureau of Near Eastern Affairs. He is a former US ambassador to Israel, serving from 2011 to 2017. Prior to his appointment, he worked as senior director for the Middle East and North Africa on the National Security Council at the White House, following his role as senior policy adviser in Barack Obama’s presidential campaign.

From 2001 to 2007, Shapiro worked as legislative director and later as deputy chief of staff for then-U.S. Senator Bill Nelson. From 1999 to 2001, he was director for legislative affairs at the National Security Council, serving as congressional liaison for National Security Adviser Sandy Berger. Shapiro also previously served as a staff member on the House Foreign Affairs Subcommittee on Europe and the Middle East and as a senior foreign policy adviser to US Senator Dianne Feinstein.

Shapiro has served as an adjunct professor at the Georgetown University School of Foreign Service, and in 2007, he was named vice president of Timmons & Company. Shapiro was a distinguished visiting fellow at the Institute for National Security Studies in Tel Aviv from 2017 to 2021. Concurrently, he was a principal at WestExec Advisors.

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Liberal order — composed of sovereign statehood, individual rights, democratic government under the rule of law, and economic openness — is under growing pressure around the world. The modern State of Israel was born with, and into, the Liberal International Order (LIO) built under American leadership in the aftermath of the Second World War and has generally thrived in that liberal world. How is Israel experiencing the challenge to liberal order and the erosion (some would say collapse) of the LIO? What shapes the Israeli experience with liberalism and public debate about the strengths and weaknesses of liberal politics? Join us for a conversation about the past, present, and possible futures of liberalism in Israel with political theorist, author, and activist Dr. Tomer Persico.   

ABOUT THE SPEAKER

Dr. Tomer Persico is a Research Fellow at the Shalom Hartman Institute and a Senior Research Scholar at the UC Berkeley Center for Middle Eastern Studies. Persico was the Koret Visiting Assistant Professor at the UC Berkeley Institute for Jewish Law and Israel Studies for three years and has taught for eight years at Tel Aviv University. His fields of expertise include cultural history, the liberal order, Jewish modern identity, contemporary spirituality, and Jewish fundamentalism. His books include The Jewish Meditative Tradition (Hebrew, Tel Aviv University Press, 2016), Liberalism: its Roots, Values and Crises (Hebrew, Dvir, 2024 and German, NZZ Libro, 2025) and In God's Image: How Western Civilization Was Shaped by a Revolutionary Idea (Hebrew, Yedioth,2021, English, NYU Press,2025). Persico is a liberal activist in Israel and has written hundreds of articles on current events for legacy media outlets, including Haaretz and The Washington Post. He lives in Jerusalem with his wife and two sons.

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Amichai Magen
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Tomer Persico
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Thursday, April 16. Click for details and registration.

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On Wednesday, January 14, the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law welcomed Ambassador Dennis Ross — a veteran U.S. negotiator in Arab-Israeli peace negotiations and advisor on Middle East policy — to discuss his latest book, Statecraft 2.0: What America Needs to Lead in a Multipolar World. Ambassador Ross joined former U.S. Ambassador to Russia Michael McFaul, the Ken Olivier and Angela Nomellini Professor of International Studies in the Department of Political Science, Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, FSI, and the Woods Institute for the Environment, in a conversation moderated by Amichai Magen, director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program.

Magen explained that Ambassador Ross’s book focuses on Russia and China, and McFaul’s latest book, Autocrats Vs. Democrats: China, Russia, America, and the New Global Disorder, focuses on several locations, with an emphasis on the Middle East. Both former ambassadors, Magen explained, sought to make sense of an era of geopolitical fluidity, approaching from a liberal internationalist perspective. The former ambassadors discussed the place of America in the world order, the decline of a rule-based international order and the development of a disorderly world, and the meaning of liberalism. The seminar concluded with a focus on Iran’s role in the Middle East and the roles of force and diplomacy in the geopolitical landscape.

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Seminars

Israel Insights Webinar with Oded Ailam — Hamas, Israel, and the West: Why This Conflict Matters Far Beyond Gaza

Wednesday, February 25, 10:00 am PT. Click to register.
Israel Insights Webinar with Oded Ailam — Hamas, Israel, and the West: Why This Conflict Matters Far Beyond Gaza
Alon Tal and Amichai Magen
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Israel's Much Anticipated 2026 Elections: A Guide to the Perplexed

Alon Tal, a former member of the Knesset, discusses Israeli democracy and the upcoming elections with Amichai Magen, Director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at CDDRL.
Israel's Much Anticipated 2026 Elections: A Guide to the Perplexed
Emmanuel Navon webinar screenshot
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Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History

Dr. Emmanuel Navon, author of “The Star and the Scepter,” explored the enduring tension between realism and idealism in Jewish diplomacy and the paradigm shift following October 7.
Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History
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Former ambassadors discuss statecraft, autocracy versus democracy, and the future of liberal internationalism in an era of geopolitical upheaval

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The January 28, 2026, Israel Insights Webinar hosted by the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program and moderated by Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies Or Rabinowitz featured security experts Sima Shine and Raz Zimmt. Analyzing the growing likelihood of direct confrontation between Iran and Israel, they said that despite Iran’s proxy strategy's failure to prevent escalation and rising domestic pressure, Tehran remains committed to rebuilding Hezbollah and other allied groups. Shine and Zimmt said that a future war—likely more expansive than previous exchanges—could involve strikes on leadership, economic, and symbolic targets. They discussed Israel’s desire for U.S. leadership in any major military action against Iran and Gulf states’ strong opposition to war and instability and preference for a negotiated U.S.–Iran agreement. Skeptical that external military action will yield rapid democratic change in Iran, they argued a more viable transformation likely requires gradual emergence within the regime.

A full recording of the webinar can be viewed above.

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Israel Insights Webinar with Karnit Flug — The Israeli Economy: Quo Vadis?

Join us for our next webinar with Karnit Flug, the William Davidson Senior Fellow for Economic Policy at the Center for Governance and the Economy at the Israel Democracy Institute, on Wednesday, February 11, at 10:00 am PT.
Israel Insights Webinar with Karnit Flug — The Israeli Economy: Quo Vadis?
Emmanuel Navon webinar screenshot
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Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History

Dr. Emmanuel Navon, author of “The Star and the Scepter,” explored the enduring tension between realism and idealism in Jewish diplomacy and the paradigm shift following October 7.
Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History
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In a conversation with Or Rabinowitz, Sima Shine, Senior Researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), and Rax Zimmt, Director of the Iran and the Shiite Axis research program at INSS, discussed escalation, regional actors, and regime change.

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In January and February of 2026, Alon Tal, Former Member of Knesset and Professor in the Department of Public Policy at Tel Aviv University, spoke in the Stanford course, "Sustainable Societies Lab: Exploring Israel’s Innovation Ecosystem in Human & Planetary Health – Pathways to Peace.” During his visit, he caught up with Amichai Magen, Director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at CDDRL. They discussed the atmosphere and sentiment on the ground in Israel as Israelis begin preparing for the first national elections since the launch of the Netanyahu coalition government's controversial "judicial overhaul" campaign in January 2023 and the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack. 

They set out seven principles for understanding Israeli elections, democracy, and electoral politics, and seven key questions about the upcoming elections.

A full recording of the webinar can be viewed above.

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Israel Insights Webinar with Karnit Flug — The Israeli Economy: Quo Vadis?

Join us for our next webinar with Karnit Flug, the William Davidson Senior Fellow for Economic Policy at the Center for Governance and the Economy at the Israel Democracy Institute, on Wednesday, February 11, at 10:00 am PT.
Israel Insights Webinar with Karnit Flug — The Israeli Economy: Quo Vadis?
Sima Shine and Raz Zimmt
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Iran, Israel, and the Risk of Direct War

In a conversation with Or Rabinowitz, Sima Shine, Senior Researcher at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), and Rax Zimmt, Director of the Iran and the Shiite Axis research program at INSS, discussed escalation, regional actors, and regime change.
Iran, Israel, and the Risk of Direct War
Emmanuel Navon webinar screenshot
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Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History

Dr. Emmanuel Navon, author of “The Star and the Scepter,” explored the enduring tension between realism and idealism in Jewish diplomacy and the paradigm shift following October 7.
Israel's Foreign Policy Through 3,500 Years of History
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Alon Tal, a former member of the Knesset, discusses Israeli democracy and the upcoming elections with Amichai Magen, Director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at CDDRL.

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Stanford faculty, students, and staff are welcome to join the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) for “Global Trends and Geopolitics in 2026: A Look Ahead,” a forward-looking conversation on the forces shaping the world.

FSI Director Colin Kahl will moderate a panel of leading institute scholars as they examine key regions and themes. The discussion will feature Larry Diamond on the future of global democracy; Anna Grzymala-Busse on European politics; Harold Trinkunas on Latin America; and Or Rabinowitz on Middle East politics and U.S.-Israel relations. Kahl will also offer insights into U.S.-China competition for AI dominance.

Don't miss this timely conversation on emerging risks, opportunities, and policy implications as we navigate an increasingly complex global landscape in 2026.

Drinks and hors d'oeuvres will be served following the panel discussion. 

Colin Kahl

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Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
William L. Clayton Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution
Professor, by courtesy, of Political Science and Sociology
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Larry Diamond is the William L. Clayton Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution, the Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), and a Bass University Fellow in Undergraduate Education at Stanford University. He is also professor by courtesy of Political Science and Sociology at Stanford, where he lectures and teaches courses on democracy (including an online course on EdX). At the Hoover Institution, he co-leads the Project on Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region and participates in the Project on the U.S., China, and the World. At FSI, he is among the core faculty of the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law, which he directed for six and a half years. He leads FSI’s Israel Studies Program and is a member of the Program on Arab Reform and Development. He also co-leads the Global Digital Policy Incubator, based at FSI’s Cyber Policy Center. He served for 32 years as founding co-editor of the Journal of Democracy.

Diamond’s research focuses on global trends affecting freedom and democracy and on U.S. and international policies to defend and advance democracy. His book, Ill Winds: Saving Democracy from Russian Rage, Chinese Ambition, and American Complacency, analyzes the challenges confronting liberal democracy in the United States and around the world at this potential “hinge in history,” and offers an agenda for strengthening and defending democracy at home and abroad.  A paperback edition with a new preface was released by Penguin in April 2020. His other books include: In Search of Democracy (2016), The Spirit of Democracy (2008), Developing Democracy: Toward Consolidation (1999), Promoting Democracy in the 1990s (1995), and Class, Ethnicity, and Democracy in Nigeria (1989). He has edited or coedited more than fifty books, including China’s Influence and American Interests (2019, with Orville Schell), Silicon Triangle: The United States, China, Taiwan the Global Semiconductor Security (2023, with James O. Ellis Jr. and Orville Schell), and The Troubling State of India’s Democracy (2024, with Sumit Ganguly and Dinsha Mistree).

During 2002–03, Diamond served as a consultant to the US Agency for International Development (USAID) and was a contributing author of its report, Foreign Aid in the National Interest. He has advised and lectured to universities and think tanks around the world, and to the World Bank, the United Nations, the State Department, and other organizations dealing with governance and development. During the first three months of 2004, Diamond served as a senior adviser on governance to the Coalition Provisional Authority in Baghdad. His 2005 book, Squandered Victory: The American Occupation and the Bungled Effort to Bring Democracy to Iraq, was one of the first books to critically analyze America's postwar engagement in Iraq.

Among Diamond’s other edited books are Democracy in Decline?; Democratization and Authoritarianism in the Arab WorldWill China Democratize?; and Liberation Technology: Social Media and the Struggle for Democracy, all edited with Marc F. Plattner; and Politics and Culture in Contemporary Iran, with Abbas Milani. With Juan J. Linz and Seymour Martin Lipset, he edited the series, Democracy in Developing Countries, which helped to shape a new generation of comparative study of democratic development.

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Former Director of the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law
Faculty Chair, Jan Koum Israel Studies Program
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Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Michelle and Kevin Douglas Professor of International Studies
Professor of Political Science
Senior Fellow, Hoover Institution
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Anna Grzymała-Busse is a professor in the Department of Political Science, the Michelle and Kevin Douglas Professor of International Studies, senior fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and the director of The Europe Center. Her research interests include political parties, state development and transformation, informal political institutions, religion and politics, and post-communist politics.

In her first book, Redeeming the Communist Past, she examined the paradox of the communist successor parties in East Central Europe: incompetent as authoritarian rulers of the communist party-state, several then succeeded as democratic competitors after the collapse of these communist regimes in 1989.

Rebuilding Leviathan, her second book project, investigated the role of political parties and party competition in the reconstruction of the post-communist state. Unless checked by a robust competition, democratic governing parties simultaneously rebuilt the state and ensured their own survival by building in enormous discretion into new state institutions.

Anna's third book, Nations Under God, examines why some churches have been able to wield enormous policy influence. Others have failed to do so, even in very religious countries. Where religious and national identities have historically fused, churches gained great moral authority, and subsequently covert and direct access to state institutions. It was this institutional access, rather than either partisan coalitions or electoral mobilization, that allowed some churches to become so powerful.

Anna's most recent book, Sacred Foundations: The Religious and Medieval Roots of the European State argues that the medieval church was a fundamental force in European state formation.

Other areas of interest include informal institutions, the impact of European Union membership on politics in newer member countries, and the role of temporality and causal mechanisms in social science explanations.

Director of The Europe Center
Anna Grzymała-Busse
Harold Trinkunas
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Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies
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Or (Ori) Rabinowitz will join Stanford’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies in summer 2026 as a Senior Research Scholar, with appointments at both CDDRL’s Jan Koum Israel Studies Program and CISAC. She arrives at Stanford following her time as a tenured Senior Lecturer (Associate Professor) in the Department of International Relations at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem.

A recipient of the British Foreign Office’s Chevening Scholarship, Rabinowitz completed her PhD in the Department of War Studies at King’s College London in 2011. Her first book, Bargaining on Nuclear Tests, was published by Oxford University Press in 2014. Her second book, Protecting the Nuclear Monopoly, forthcoming with Cambridge University Press, examines the evolution of U.S.–Israeli collaboration in countering nuclear proliferation in the Middle East. Rabinowitz has published widely in leading academic journals as well as in prominent policy and public-facing outlets. She is the recipient of multiple grants and distinctions, including two competitive personal grants from the Israel Science Foundation.

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The Hoover Institution and the Israel Studies Program at CDDRL hosted a launch event for Berkowitz's new book, "Explaining Israel: The Jewish State, the Middle East, and America," on Wednesday, October 29, 2025, from 4:00 - 5:30 p.m. PT.

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Aleeza Schoenberg Gelernt
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On December 3, 2025, the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program at CDDRL hosted Dr. Emmanuel Navon, a French-born Israeli international relations scholar and author of The Star and the Scepter: A Diplomatic History of Israel, for a webinar moderated by Amichai Magen, Director of the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program. Covering 3,5000 years of Israeli foreign policy, Navon—a lecturer on International Relations at Tel Aviv University and a senior fellow at the Jerusalem Institute for Strategy and Security—explored tensions between political realism (the "scepter") and idealism (the "star") that have shaped Jewish diplomatic thought throughout history. Focused on Vladimir Jabotinsky, David Ben-Gurion, and others, Navon argued that from October 7, 2023, Israeli strategic thinking shifted: facing ideologically-driven enemies willing to sacrifice everything for Israel's destruction, Israelis watched the "iron wall" doctrine of deterrence collapse physically and conceptually.

Navon noted that post-October 7 Israel must move strategically beyond containment and actively dismantle existential threats. He also described a spiritual reawakening among Israelis redefining their Jewish identities in response to unrelenting hatred. He contextualized the global focus on Israel within debates over Western values, democracy, and resistance to Islamist ideology. In response to audience questions about antisemitism, information warfare, and the blurring lines between Israeli foreign policy and diaspora concerns, Navon outlined how, through sophisticated propaganda and rhetoric centered on justice and self-determination, Israel's adversaries project their own colonial ambitions and human rights abuses onto Israel.

A full recording of the webinar can be viewed below:

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Canada-Israel Relations and the Future of Israeli Politics

Vivian Bercovici, former Canadian Ambassador to Israel, reflects on diplomacy, the “leave no one behind” ethos, and Israel’s political crossroads.
Canada-Israel Relations and the Future of Israeli Politics
Azar Gat webinar screenshot
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Understanding the Persistence of the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict

In an Israel Insights webinar, Professor Azar Gat examined how unresolved questions of historical legitimacy have shaped decades of failed negotiations.
Understanding the Persistence of the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict
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Dr. Emmanuel Navon, author of “The Star and the Scepter,” explored the enduring tension between realism and idealism in Jewish diplomacy and the paradigm shift following October 7.

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The November 5, 2025, Israel Insights webinar, hosted by the Jan Koum Israel Studies Program (JKISP) at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL), featured a conversation between Amichai Magen, director of JKISP, and Ambassador Vivian Bercovici, former Canadian ambassador to Israel and a leading commentator on Israeli politics and society. Bercovici reflected on her work as a political appointee under Prime Minister Stephen Harper, describing tensions between Canada’s elected leadership and its foreign service bureaucracy, particularly related to Israel policy. She emphasized that her role was to implement, rather than shape, government policy, and she discussed efforts to strengthen Canada–Israel commercial and technological ties amid institutional resistance and limited subject-matter expertise within the bureaucracy.

Later, Ambassador Bercovici and Magen discussed Israel’s current political and social trajectory following the judicial reform crisis and the October 7, 2023, Hamas attack. Bercovici argued that Israel’s next election could be the most consequential in the country’s history, with the future of liberal democracy and civic responsibility at stake. She highlighted a growing divide within Israeli society over the state’s founding ethos of shared obligation, particularly surrounding debates centered on the return of hostages, unequal military and national service, and declining commitment among some groups to democratic norms. The webinar concluded with a discussion of how these tensions may reshape Israel’s political culture and determine the character of the state in the years ahead.

A full recording of the webinar can be viewed below:

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Understanding the Persistence of the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict

In an Israel Insights webinar, Professor Azar Gat examined how unresolved questions of historical legitimacy have shaped decades of failed negotiations.
Understanding the Persistence of the Israeli–Palestinian Conflict
Yoav Heller presented during a Visiting Fellows in Israel Studies winter webinar.
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Dr. Yoav Heller on Rebuilding Centrist Politics and Uniting Israelis

Dr. Heller, founder of the Fourth Quarter, discussed how grassroots centrist movements can overcome identity-driven polarization in Israel by fostering unity, especially in the wake of national tragedy, and emphasized the need for long-term internal peace-building and reimagining Israeli society’s future.
Dr. Yoav Heller on Rebuilding Centrist Politics and Uniting Israelis
Eugene Kandel presents via Zoom in a webinar hosted by the Visiting Fellows in Israel Program.
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Eugene Kandel on Tackling Israel’s Internal Existential Risks

Kandel's talk with Visiting Fellow in Israel Studies Amichai Magen focused on his work at the Israel Strategic Futures Institute (ISFI) in diagnosing what he and his colleagues identify as internal existential risks for Israel and the policy ideas generated by ISFI in response to those risks.
Eugene Kandel on Tackling Israel’s Internal Existential Risks
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Vivian Bercovici, former Canadian Ambassador to Israel, reflects on diplomacy, the “leave no one behind” ethos, and Israel’s political crossroads.

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