Policy Analysis
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Mary-Therese Heintzkill
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Senior leaders from the International Finance Corporation (IFC) and government officials gathered at Stanford University from August 24 to 28, 2026, for the IFC-Stanford Leadership Academy for Development Senior Level Training on Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) and Public Policy for Infrastructure. Infrastructure is a governance outcome that can bolster the legitimacy of new democracies, contribute to economic growth, and provide citizens with public goods. The five-day program was jointly organized by IFC, a member of the World Bank Group, and the Leadership Academy for Development (LAD) at Stanford's Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL). 

Drawing on nearly two decades of work with international partner organizations, LAD worked with IFC to tailor lectures and case studies to the program's learning objectives. Participants examined PPP structuring and procurement, project finance, stakeholder engagement, regulatory and political risk, project assessment and safeguards, public institution reform, and bilateral and multilateral development finance.

The cohort was taught by Stanford scholars Francis Fukuyama, Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, director of the Ford Dorsey Master's in International Policy, and professor by courtesy of political science, and Michael Bennon. Prof. Fukuyama opened the first session with his Problem-Solving Framework, a method for identifying a policy problem, mapping stakeholder interests and relationships, and moving from analysis to implementation.

I found the decision-making framework very helpful for approaching problems and highlighting the often-overlooked role of stakeholders in the PPP process.
2026 Program Participant

Bennon is a research scholar at CDDRL and program manager of its Global Infrastructure Policy Research Initiative. He also teaches Global Project Finance to Stanford graduate students. He led sessions on public-private partnerships, infrastructure regulation, project assessment and safeguards, corruption, and energy-sector reform, linking research on infrastructure governance and finance to the choices practitioners face when developing and overseeing projects.

Participants applied these concepts to real-world infrastructure cases from Indonesia, Uganda, Canada, Brazil, Uzbekistan, and Ecuador, taking the roles of public officials and investors to work through contested procurements, project turnarounds, public pushback, and corruption. Rather than a single correct answer, each case asked participants to weigh political constraints, institutional capacity, and the competing interests of governments, financiers, private partners, and local communities.

Group work is a hallmark of LAD training. Each day, teams set aside time to work through a real-world PPP or infrastructure problem brought by program participants, using the week's lessons to build an implementation plan. Teams presented their recommendations to faculty and peers on the final day.

The tools I have learned, especially the problem-solving tool, will be useful. The network with the global team is an added advantage.
2026 Program Participant
IFC-Stanford group photo
IFC-Stanford course participants pose on campus. | Farangiz Murodiy

Participants said they expect to apply what they learned through the LAD program to their everyday work, and many pointed to the range of experience in the room as a resource in itself. One participant described the week as providing both practical frameworks and a network of professionals facing similar challenges. Another, reflecting on two decades in infrastructure finance, said the course served as a reminder of how much there is still left to learn.

The IFC-Stanford cohort now joins LAD's global community of nearly 2,700 alumni from 116 countries. Across 88 workshops organized with 31 institutional partners, LAD has built a network of government officials, international development specialists, and private-sector leaders who continue to learn from one another as they design policy and carry out reforms. That network gives this cohort a source of experience and advice as they apply the week's lessons to infrastructure decisions in their own institutions and countries.

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Launching viaduct bridge in progress for Pune metro rail project in Pune city, Maharashtra, India.
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CDDRL’s Leadership Academy for Development Announces New Public-Private Partnerships Program with the International Finance Corporation

The Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law’s (CDDRL) Leadership Academy for Development (LAD) is embarking on a new partnership with the International Finance Corporation to educate senior leaders on infrastructure policy, governance, and public-private partnerships.
CDDRL’s Leadership Academy for Development Announces New Public-Private Partnerships Program with the International Finance Corporation
Solving Public Policy Problems
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Reimagining Public Policy Education at Stanford and Beyond

The Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law is proud to announce the launch of a new free massive open online course aimed at providing participants with a foundational knowledge of the best means for enacting effective policy change in their home countries.
Reimagining Public Policy Education at Stanford and Beyond
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Michael Bennon addressing participants during the August 2026 LAD course titled “Public-Private Partnerships and Public Policy for Infrastructure.”
Michael Bennon addressing participants during the August 2026 LAD course titled “Public-Private Partnerships and Public Policy for Infrastructure.” | Mary-Therese Heintzkill
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Senior IFC leaders and government officials came together for five days of practical learning focused on the decisions that shape public-private infrastructure projects.

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In Brief
  • CDDRL's Leadership Academy for Development (LAD) and the International Finance Corporation (IFC) hosted senior infrastructure leaders and officials at Stanford, August 24–28, 2026, for training on Public-Private Partnerships (PPP).
  • Stanford scholars Francis Fukuyama and Michael Bennon led sessions applying research to real-world infrastructure finance and governance decisions.
  • The cohort joins LAD's global network of nearly 2,700 alumni, extending the program's reach across 116 countries.
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Nora Sulots
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Every September, rising seniors in the Fisher Family Honors Program travel to the nation’s capital for CDDRL’s Honors College. This immersive, week-long program gives students an inside look at the institutions and experts in Washington, D.C., who are shaping global debates and working to advance democracy and development around the world.

Throughout the week, students will dive into the challenges and advantages of empowering local democratic activists with speakers at the National Endowment for Democracy, examine scholarship and debates shaping the field of democracy studies at the Journal of Democracy, explore the intersection of technology and national security at Anthropic, and gain insights into global strategy and governance from scholars at Brookings, RAND, and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, among other exciting site visits. They are also encouraged to use this time to connect with experts related to their thesis question.

CDDRL’s Fisher Family Honors Program brings together undergraduates from diverse fields and methodologies who share a passion for understanding democracy, development, and the rule of law. The program challenges students to carry out original, policy-relevant research on these topics and produce a coherent, eloquently argued, and well-written honors thesis.

This year's Honors College begins on Sunday, September 13. It will be led by Stephen Stedman, Senior Fellow and Director of the Fisher Family Honors Program; Kathryn Stoner, Mosbacher Director of CDDRL and Satre Family Senior Fellow at FSI; and honors alumna Shayla Fitzsimmons-Call, class of 2026.

Stay tuned for student reflections

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CDDRL Fisher Family Honors Class of 2027
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CDDRL Welcomes Twelve Juniors to its Fisher Family Honors Program

The Class of 2026-27 will spend the next year and a half conducting original thesis research on democracy, development, and the rule of law — from post-Soviet privatization to the politics of interfaith marriage in India.
CDDRL Welcomes Twelve Juniors to its Fisher Family Honors Program
2026 Fisher Family Honors Program Award Winners
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CDDRL Honors Students Recognized for Award-Winning Research and Community Leadership

Marco Widodo receives a Firestone Medal, Shayla Fitzsimmons-Call wins CDDRL's Outstanding Thesis Award, and Zoya Fasihuddin is named the inaugural recipient of the Zoe Savellos Memorial Award for Community Building.
CDDRL Honors Students Recognized for Award-Winning Research and Community Leadership
Hanging gold charm with greek letters "Phi Beta Kappa" on blue background
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Six CDDRL Honors Students Elected to Phi Beta Kappa

Katya Bigman, John Churchill, Elizabeth Jerstad, George Porteous, Emma Wang, and Marco Widodo are among the newest members of this prestigious academic honors society.
Six CDDRL Honors Students Elected to Phi Beta Kappa
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View of Pennsylvania Ave and the U.S. Capitol building from the Old Post Office tower in Washington, D.C.
View of Pennsylvania Ave and the U.S. Capitol building from the Old Post Office tower in Washington, D.C. | Vlad Tchompalov
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From September 13 to 19, the Fisher Family Honors Program class of 2027 will attend CDDRL’s annual Honors College, where they will participate in a week of site visits and discussions with leading scholars and practitioners working to strengthen democracy worldwide.

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Artificial Intelligence is reshaping politics and political science, just as it is transforming other social phenomena and their associated academic fields. As with the larger policy debates over artificial intelligence and its social impact, attitudes toward the newest version of this technology range from utopian to dystopian, with many also alleging the technology is overhyped, at least in the short term. With the pace of technological and political change nearly outpacing the capacity of (human) academics to analyze these trends, any endeavor to take stock of where things stand for AI and politics in the summer of 2026 is necessarily fraught. Although the trajectory remains uncertain, a volume like this provides a critical snapshot of the state of the field as it begins to grapple with the multifaceted questions of AI’s relationship to politics and research.

Artificial Intelligence, Politics, and Political Science (Nathaniel Persily et al. eds., forthcoming 2026).

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Nathaniel Persily
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Cambridge University Press
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Nora Sulots
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Valentin Bolotnyy, an affiliated scholar at Stanford’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL), has been appointed Vice Chair of the Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors by Gavin Newsom. The council serves as a strategic advisory body to the governor and the California Department of Finance, bringing together leading experts to analyze economic trends and provide guidance on state and federal developments.

The announcement introduces new leadership for the council, with Renee Bowen (Georgetown University McDonough School of Business and the Walsh School of Foreign Service) serving as Chair and Bolotnyy as Vice Chair. The group convenes experts from academia, policy, and industry to examine evolving economic conditions and advise on issues shaping California’s economy, including federal policy shifts, trade dynamics, and emerging technologies like artificial intelligence.

Bolotnyy is a Kleinheinz Fellow at the Hoover Institution, where he contributes to the State and Local Governance Initiative and the Working Group on Civics and American Citizenship. His research focuses on designing and evaluating policies that improve economic and health outcomes, particularly for vulnerable populations, often in partnership with state and local agencies.

Using administrative data, quasi-experimental methods, and randomized controlled trials, his work examines issues including involuntary hospitalization, deinstitutionalization, and interventions for individuals cycling through hospitals, jails, and homelessness, as well as prison education and workforce development programs. He is also affiliated with CDDRL's Deliberative Democracy Lab.

His appointment comes as California continues to navigate global economic disruptions and policy shifts, with the council playing a key role in helping the state respond to emerging challenges and opportunities.

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Barber shop located in the Ninth Ward, New Orleans, Louisiana, damaged by Hurricane Katrina in 2005.
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The Limited Effects of Climate Change on American Migration

CDDRL Research-in-Brief [4-minute read]
The Limited Effects of Climate Change on American Migration
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CDDRL Affiliated Scholar Secures $786,100 Grant To Study Ways To Reduce Rates Of Involuntary Mental Health Hospitalization

A research team led by Hoover Kleinheinz Fellow Valentin Bolotnyy, an affiliated scholar at CDDRL, has just secured a Stanford Impact Labs grant worth $786,100 to discover ways to reduce rates of involuntary mental health hospitalization.
CDDRL Affiliated Scholar Secures $786,100 Grant To Study Ways To Reduce Rates Of Involuntary Mental Health Hospitalization
Valentin Bolotnyy
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Valentin Bolotnyy Named to California Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors

Bolotnyy, an economist, affiliated scholar with CDDRL's Deliberative Democracy Lab, and Kleinheinz Fellow at the Hoover Institution, has joined California governor Gavin Newsom’s Council of Economic Advisors. His appointment became effective on August 22, 2024.
Valentin Bolotnyy Named to California Governor’s Council of Economic Advisors
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The CDDRL-affiliated scholar is among the newly appointed council leadership advising on economic trends, federal shifts, and emerging challenges facing California.

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Khushmita Dhabhai
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On April 2, FSI Center Fellow Didi Kuo opened CDDRL’s Spring Research Seminar Series with a presentation titled “Beyond Policy: The Rise of Non-Programmatic Party Competition in Advanced Democracies.” The seminar examined whether policy continues to serve as the primary basis of political competition and voter-party linkage in advanced democratic systems.

Kuo began by outlining the traditional “programmatic” model of party competition, which assumes that political parties compete by offering distinct policy platforms and that voters make choices based on these policy differences. In this framework, democratic responsiveness emerges from the alignment between public preferences and party positions. Historically, such programmatic competition has been closely associated with democratic consolidation, strong institutions, and effective governance.

However, Kuo challenged this assumption by asking whether policy still plays a central role in contemporary politics. She presented evidence suggesting that political discourse, particularly in the United States, has shifted away from policy-focused communication. For example, recent political speeches were shown to contain fewer policy references and more grievance-based and retrospective language. This shift raised concerns that parties may increasingly rely on alternative strategies to mobilize voters.

The seminar then explored several non-programmatic forms of political competition. These included identity-based appeals, grievance politics, populism, and affective polarization. Kuo explained that these strategies emphasize emotional resonance, group identity, and symbolic representation rather than concrete policy proposals. In such contexts, voters may be motivated less by policy preferences and more by partisan identity or perceived cultural alignment. Importantly, these dynamics do not fully replace programmatic competition but instead reduce its relative importance.

Kuo also discussed theoretical and empirical research showing that many voters possess limited policy knowledge and often hold unstable or weakly structured policy preferences. As a result, factors such as party identification, emotion, and social identity can play a more significant role in shaping political behavior. This complicates the traditional view that democratic accountability operates primarily through policy evaluation.

To assess whether programmatic competition is declining, Kuo introduced new measurement strategies. These included expert surveys evaluating party cohesion and policy salience, as well as analyses of voter responses over time to determine whether individuals reference policy when expressing political preferences. The findings suggested a gradual decline in policy-based reasoning among voters, even in countries like the United States that have historically been highly programmatic.

Kuo concluded by considering the broader implications of this shift. A decline in programmatic competition may weaken democratic accountability, as voters become less likely to evaluate governments based on policy performance. It may also contribute to increased polarization and reduced willingness to compromise, as identity-driven politics tends to be more zero-sum. Ultimately, the seminar suggested that if policy is no longer the dominant mode of political competition, scholars may need to rethink core assumptions about how democracy functions.

In sum, Kuo’s presentation highlighted a significant transformation in advanced democracies: the growing importance of non-programmatic strategies in party competition and the potential consequences this shift holds for democratic governance.

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Hannah Chapman presented her research in a CDDRL and TEC sponsored REDS Seminar on March 12, 2026.
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The Information Paradox: Citizen Appeals and Authoritarian Governance in Russia

Associate Professor Hannah Chapman explores how the rise of crises affects authoritarian regimes’ ability to gather information from their citizens in the context of Russia.
The Information Paradox: Citizen Appeals and Authoritarian Governance in Russia
Oliver Kaplan presented his research in a CDDRL seminar on February 19, 2026.
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Assessing Labor Market Discrimination Against Ex-combatants

CDDRL Visiting Scholar Oliver Kaplan explores how stigma shapes hiring decisions for ex-combatants in Colombia and identifies ways education, reconciliation efforts, and employer incentives can reduce discrimination.
Assessing Labor Market Discrimination Against Ex-combatants
Laia Balcells presented her research in a CDDRL seminar on March 5, 2026.
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Do Transitional Justice Museums Change Minds?

Georgetown scholar Laia Balcells's research finds that museums commemorating past atrocities can shift political attitudes — but the extent of that shift depends on context.
Do Transitional Justice Museums Change Minds?
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Didi Kuo presented her research in a CDDRL seminar on April 2, 2026.
Didi Kuo presented her research in a CDDRL seminar on April 2, 2026. | Stacey Clifton
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Didi Kuo explores how non-programmatic competition is changing the relationship between voters, parties, and democratic institutions.

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In Brief
  • In an April 2 research seminar at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law, Didi Kuo examined whether policy still drives party competition in advanced democracies.
  • Kuo’s seminar showed parties increasingly rely on identity, grievance, and polarization alongside traditional policy-based appeals.
  • The research suggests declining policy-based competition could weaken democratic accountability and reshape how scholars understand democratic governance.
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Nensi Hayotsyan
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In a CDDRL research seminar held on February 19, 2026, Oliver Kaplan, visiting scholar at CDDRL and Associate Professor at the University of Denver, presented a collaborative project on labor market discrimination against ex-combatants in Colombia. The study explores how prevalent hiring discrimination is against ex-combatants in the formal job market and whether this bias can be reduced. To highlight the significance of this issue, Kaplan emphasized the central role employment plays in reintegration, explaining that it is not only about income and individual well-being, but also about preventing recidivism, which is critical to long-term democratic stability and the rule of law. 

As Kaplan argues, stigma can play a major role in shaping hiring outcomes, as employers may associate ex-combatants with violence, instability, or unreliability, impacting the hiring process. Hence, the research tests whether ex-combatants face an employment penalty relative to non-ex-combatants. The study also examines whether conflict victims face similar bias and whether applicants who were both ex-combatants and victims experience different outcomes, since victim status could either reinforce stigma or generate sympathy and improve hiring chances. Finally, the study aims to identify practical ways to mitigate discrimination through education and skills training beyond high school, participation in reconciliation or peacebuilding activities, and the presence of employer tax incentives.

Kaplan and colleagues implemented a field experiment, partnering with Columbia’s reintegration agency to work with eight former combatants who applied to jobs using different versions of their resumes. The key treatment was selectively including or withholding information such as reintegration status, education, training, or reconciliation experience. This allowed the researchers to see how employers respond to different signals without faking information or using false identities. Applications were submitted through major online job platforms, and employer responses, including interview invitations, requests for additional information, and job offers, were tracked through calls, messages, and emails.  

Kaplan concluded by emphasizing the potential policy implications of these findings, explaining that improving access to employment through training and employer incentives might strengthen reintegration and reduce barriers faced by ex-combatants. Ultimately, Kaplan stressed that employment is not just an economic issue, but a key component of long-term peacebuilding, as access to stable jobs reduces the likelihood that ex-combatants return to conflict and helps sustain democratic stability.

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Laia Balcells presented her research in a CDDRL seminar on March 5, 2026.
News

Do Transitional Justice Museums Change Minds?

Georgetown scholar Laia Balcells's research finds that museums commemorating past atrocities can shift political attitudes — but the extent of that shift depends on context.
Do Transitional Justice Museums Change Minds?
Adrienne LeBas presented her research in a CDDRL seminar on February 27, 2026.
News

Social Intermediaries and Statebuilding

Adrienne LeBas explores whether social intermediaries with strong state capacity can help build tax revenue.
Social Intermediaries and Statebuilding
Lucan Way presented his research in a REDS Seminar on February 12, 2026.
News

Resource Concentration and Authoritarianism

Lucan Way examines the structural relationship between state resource concentration and democratic outcomes, using Russia as a central case while situating it within broader comparative patterns.
Resource Concentration and Authoritarianism
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Oliver Kaplan presented his research in a CDDRL seminar on February 19, 2026.
Oliver Kaplan presented his research in a CDDRL seminar on February 19, 2026. | Nora Sulots
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CDDRL Visiting Scholar Oliver Kaplan explores how stigma shapes hiring decisions for ex-combatants in Colombia and identifies ways education, reconciliation efforts, and employer incentives can reduce discrimination.

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In Brief
  • At a CDDRL research seminar, Visiting Scholar Oliver Kaplan examined how stigma shapes employers’ hiring decisions for former combatants in Colombia.
  • A field experiment with Colombia’s reintegration agency tested how signals like education, training, and reconciliation experience affect employer responses.
  • The research suggests that education, participation in peacebuilding, and employer incentives could reduce discrimination and strengthen post-conflict reintegration.
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THE QUESTION

On 22 February 2026, Mexican security forces neutralized and killed Nemesio Oseguera Cervantes (El Mencho), founder and leader of the Cartel Jalisco Nueva Generación (CJNG). Within hours, more than 370 violent incidents erupted in 25 states: narco-blockades, arson attacks on OXXO stores and Bancos del Bienestar, and direct ambushes of Guardia Nacional units that killed at least 25 officers. Some observers compared the violence to a nationwide civil war insurgency. The data and its analysis tell a more qualified story.

WHAT THE DATA SHOWS

Using two independent georeferenced incident datasets — DataInt (251 records) and Aliado/Alephri (138 records), merged and deduplicated to 370 events — we mapped the timing, geography, and severity of every reported incident and asked whether the pattern looks like a coordinated national campaign or something else entirely.

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What the CJNG Response to El Mencho's Death Reveals About Cartel Organisational Capacity

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Alberto Díaz-Cayeros

Encina West 410
616 Jane Stanford Way
Stanford, CA 94305

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Lecturer, Political Science
Associate Director of the Capstone Program, Political Science
Affiliated scholar, CDDRL
paci_headshot_-_simone_paci.jpg

Simone Paci is a lecturer in Political Science at Stanford University. His research focuses on political economy across public policy domains. His three main areas of interest include taxation, AI, and gender politics.

Simone's research has been published in the American Journal of Political Science, PS: Political Science & Politics, the UN WIDER Working Paper Series, and the Journal of Interdisciplinary History.

Before Stanford, Simone held a Postdoctoral Research Associate position at Princeton University. Simone received a PhD in Political Science from Columbia University and a BA in Political Science and Economics from Yale University.

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Nora Sulots
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Every September, rising seniors in the Fisher Family Honors Program travel to the nation’s capital for CDDRL’s Honors College. This immersive, week-long program gives students an inside look at the institutions and experts in Washington, D.C. who are shaping global debates and working to advance democracy and development around the world.

Throughout the week, students will examine pressing global issues with experts at the Council on Foreign Relations’ Center on Preventive Action and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, gain insights into international development from scholars at the World Bank, and dive into the challenges and advantages of empowering local democratic activists — particularly in countries hostile to democracy — with speakers at the National Endowment for Democracy, among other exciting site visits. They are also encouraged to use this time to connect with experts related to their thesis question.

CDDRL’s Fisher Family Honors Program brings together undergraduates from diverse fields and methodologies who share a passion for understanding democracy, development, and the rule of law. The program challenges students to carry out original, policy-relevant research on these topics and produce a coherent, eloquently argued, and well-written honors thesis.

This year's Honors College begins on Sunday, September 14. It will be led by Stephen Stedman, Senior Fellow and Director of the Fisher Family Honors Program, and research scholar María Ignacia Curiel, alongside Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy Larry Diamond.

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CDDRL Fisher Family Honors Class of 2026
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Introducing Our 2025-26 CDDRL Honors Students

We are thrilled to welcome twelve outstanding students, who together represent fourteen different majors and minors and hail from seven different states and four countries, to our Fisher Family Honors Program in Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law.
Introducing Our 2025-26 CDDRL Honors Students
CDDRL 2025 Thesis Award Winners
News

CDDRL Fisher Family Honors Program Graduates Recognized for Outstanding Theses

Charles Sheiner ('25) is a recipient of the 2025 Firestone Medal, and Adrian Feinberg ('25) and Adelaide Madary ('25) have won CDDRL's Outstanding Thesis Awards.
CDDRL Fisher Family Honors Program Graduates Recognized for Outstanding Theses
Phi Beta Kappa graduates
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Record Number of CDDRL Honors Students Elected to Phi Beta Kappa

Seniors Alex Borthwick, Adrian Feinberg, Malaina Kapoor, and Avinash Thakkar (Fisher Family Honors Program class of 2025), and junior Emma Wang (Fisher Family Honors Program class of 2026) are among the newest members of this prestigious academic honors society.
Record Number of CDDRL Honors Students Elected to Phi Beta Kappa
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An aerial view of the Capitol Building and the National Mall in Washington, D.C.
An aerial view of the Capitol Building and the National Mall in Washington, D.C. | Harrison Mitchell via Unsplash
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From September 14 to 20, the Fisher Family Honors Program class of 2026 will attend CDDRL’s annual Honors College, where they will participate in a week of site visits and discussions with leading scholars and practitioners working to strengthen democracy worldwide.

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CDDRL Honors Student, 2025-26
img_1259_3_-_emma_wang.jpg

Major: Political Science
Hometown: Naperville, Illinois
Thesis Advisor: Jonathan Rodden

Tentative Thesis Title: Broadband for All: Historical Lessons and International Models for U.S. Internet Policy

Future aspirations post-Stanford: After completing my master's in computer science, I hope to go to law school and work in technology law.

A fun fact about yourself: I started lion dancing when I came to college!

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