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Khushmita Dhabhai
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CDDRL Visiting Scholar Michael Albertus’s Research Seminar presentation, “Winning Under Electoral Authoritarianism: Turning Out the ‘Right’ Votes in Venezuela,” examined how electoral infrastructure can become a subtle but powerful tool of authoritarian political control. The presentation, based on joint work with Felipe Baritto and Dany Jaimovich, focused on Venezuela and asked whether the expansion of polling centers under Chávez and Maduro was simply a response to demographic demand or whether it was politically targeted to benefit the ruling coalition.

The central puzzle of the presentation was that Venezuela substantially expanded its electoral infrastructure between 2000 and 2024, with the number of polling centers increasing by about 70 percent, even though population growth was much smaller. Albertus situated this puzzle within the broader literature on competitive authoritarianism, where regimes often maintain formally competitive elections but tilt the playing field through institutional design, state resources, media control, opposition harassment, and selective manipulation. His key contribution was to show that the organization of voting infrastructure itself may belong on this “menu of manipulation.”

The empirical strategy was built around a geocoded dataset of voting centers across Venezuelan election periods. The authors identified “new” polling centers and used stable polling centers to construct electoral Voronoi polygons, which served as local catchment areas. This allowed them to ask whether areas with higher prior support for Chavismo were more likely to receive new voting centers in later periods. Their baseline models used polygon and election-period fixed effects, with controls such as population, and clustered standard errors by municipality.

The main result was that lagged regime support predicted the creation of new polling centers. A 10-percentage-point increase in regime support was associated with roughly a 10-percentage-point increase in the probability of receiving a new polling center relative to the sample mean. Areas in the top quartile of regime support were about 30 percent more likely to receive a new center. These effects were strongest in urban areas and became larger as elections tightened and regime support weakened.

Albertus also presented evidence that new polling centers were not politically neutral spaces. Many carried regime-aligned names and ideological language, including terms associated with Bolivarianism, Chávez, communes, popular power, and revolutionary programs. This suggested that polling centers were not only administrative sites but also spaces of political embedding.

The presentation then turned to consequences. New polling centers were associated with higher turnout, especially in areas already supportive of the regime. They were also linked to smaller polling centers and more single-table centers, which may have made voter monitoring easier. In the 2024 election, the opposition's collection of actas (vote tabulations) was less likely in polygons where new polling stations had previously been established, suggesting that infrastructure expansion may have weakened the opposition's monitoring capacity.

Overall, the presentation argued that authoritarian regimes do not always need to rely on blatant fraud or overt suppression. They can instead selectively expand access, making voting easier for supporters while improving their own capacity for mobilization and monitoring. The project’s broader significance lies in showing how seemingly technical decisions about election administration can have deeply political effects.

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Michael Albertus presented his research in a CDDRL seminar on May 14, 2026.
Michael Albertus presented his research in a CDDRL seminar on May 14, 2026.
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Michael Albertus argues electoral infrastructure should be considered part of the broader “menu of manipulation” used by authoritarian regimes.

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  • Michael Albertus presented research examining how Venezuela’s expansion of polling centers may have benefited areas with stronger support for the ruling regime.
  • The study found that new polling centers were associated with higher turnout in pro-regime areas and may have strengthened voter monitoring capacity.
  • Findings suggest electoral infrastructure can function as a subtle form of political manipulation within competitive authoritarian systems.
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Since April 12, 2026, the Democracy Action Lab (DAL) has been conducting independent research into the administrative failures that affected the first round of Peru's presidential election, during which a significant number of polling stations in Lima opened hours after the legal start time. Drawing on more than 92,600 tally sheets reconstructed from the National Office of Electoral Processes (ONPE), scanned acts processed with multimodal AI models, and the official JNE list of late-opening stations, the team produced the most complete public database available on this election.

Our findings show that the late opening had a real and measurable effect on voter turnout in Lima — a reduction of between 2.5 and 5 percentage points — but that no empirically plausible scenario alters the order of the candidates advancing to the runoff. The administrative failure was serious in its own right: thousands of citizens were prevented from exercising their right to vote, and trust in Peruvian electoral institutions was further eroded. Ensuring this does not recur in the runoff and providing clear accountability for what happened on April 12, 2026, are obligations that stand independently of the findings on the final result.

The work is presented across three companion documents, all available above:

  1. Working Paper (English) — Full academic version with methodology, data construction, identification strategies, robustness checks, and complete results.
  2. Policy Brief (English) — Condensed summary of the findings for policymakers, electoral authorities, journalists, and the general public.
  3. Amicus Curiae (Spanish) — Brief submitted to Peru's National Elections Jury (JNE), presenting the evidence directly to the body responsible for adjudicating the election.


This work was carried out with full academic independence and without funding from electoral campaigns or political parties.

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Alberto Díaz-Cayeros
Beatriz Magaloni
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How can opposition actors challenge authoritarian rule? Electoral authoritarian regimes, characterised by multiparty elections, have emerged as the dominant form of autocracy in the 21st Century. While these elections create the appearance of political competition, they are structured to favour incumbents through systematic manipulation of the playing field, including efforts to weaken, divide, and constrain opposition parties. This policy brief synthesizes research on how opposition actors navigate these constraints and the implications for international efforts to support democratic change.

The brief examines five common approaches. Each can, under certain conditions, improve opposition prospects or constrain regime behavior. None, however, offers a reliable path to victory. Structural conditions, such as regime openness, elite cohesion, and incumbent vulnerability, shape which strategies are feasible and how effective they are likely to be, and each involves tradeoffs. Forming coalitions can help oppositions overcome fragmentation and compete more effectively, but strong performance may signal a threat and provoke backlash. Investments in party organisation can strengthen competitiveness, yet legible organisation also exposes parties to targeted repression and cooptation. Mobilizing protests can raise the costs of fraud and catalyse elite defections, but has increasingly triggered crackdowns as regimes adapt. Boycotts can help delegitimise elections, though they also risk depressing turnout and forfeiting institutional footholds. Finally, international outreach (“opposition diplomacy”) can encourage foreign pressure, but can also drain scarce resources and enable regimes to cast oppositions as agents of foreign interference.

A recurring pattern across these strategies is that apparent success can also generate new risks. Strong electoral performance and effective mobilisation often signal a threat to incumbents, incentivising backlash. As a result, opposition actors routinely face a dilemma: actions that improve short-term competitiveness may undermine longer-term survival, while more cautious approaches can entrench marginalization. These dynamics help explain why opposition parties remain persistent underdogs in authoritarian elections, even when public support exists.

In light of these realities, democracy promotion practitioners should remain clear-eyed about the long odds for opposition success, while recognizing that opposition parties represent central political actors and an important bulwark against further authoritarian consolidation. As such, practitioners should embrace collaborative relationships with opposition actors, despite imperfections. Encouraging oppositions to develop and adapt a portfolio of approaches, while anticipating regime retaliation, is also more realistic than promoting any single “best practice.”
 



THE AUTHORITARIAN ECOSYSTEM:

This collection of policy briefs, jointly published with the UK Political Studies Association specialist group on Autocracy and Regime Change, examines the authoritarian ecosystem — the interconnected network of institutions, actors, and norms that sustain authoritarian rule.

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Part of WFD's "The authoritarian ecosystem" policy brief series.

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Westminster Foundation for Democracy
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Oren Samet
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Introduction and Contribution:


There is a growing recognition, both in and outside of the academy, that democracy requires more than simply voting for and removing incumbents during elections. For one, relying solely on elected representatives deprives those being represented of direct control over decisions that affect them. In addition, it can also generate — as it has in the United States and elsewhere — large gaps in responsiveness and representation, particularly for historically disenfranchised and marginal groups. 

Participatory budgeting (PB) represents one influential attempt to overcome these gaps in democratic practice. First introduced in the 1980s by the Brazilian Workers’ Party (PT), PB empowers voters to allocate public funds to projects that benefit them. Since then, ordinary citizens in thousands of places across the world have helped determine the content of local budgets.

Despite its successes, academics and practitioners remain unclear about how to address and balance considerations related to budget constraints and ease of participation. This coincides with well-known mathematical difficulties surrounding the aggregation of votes, for example, that individually consistent preferences can yield inconsistent group outcomes.

Participatory budgeting empowers voters to allocate public funds to projects that benefit them.

In “Rank, Pack, or Approve,” Lodewijk Gelauff and Ashish Goel introduce a dataset drawn from the novel and comprehensive Stanford Participatory Budgeting platform. The data span over 150 real participatory budgeting processes, or “elections.” Importantly, the elections vary in terms of how ballots are designed and how participants make budgeting decisions. Gelauff and Goel ask how such variation shapes important budgeting outcomes, such as when participants are more likely to become fatigued and abandon the process. 

Two key findings from the study are as follows: First, more complex PB designs lead voters to, perhaps unsurprisingly, spend more time participating; however, this does not significantly increase abandonment or “dropout” rates. Second, voting methods that force participants to deal with cost trade-offs — as opposed to merely indicating their preferences — have been found to generate less expensive projects. 

The reader comes away with a sense of how subtle differences in the design of budgeting elections meaningfully shape the allocation of resources. This will resonate with social scientists who are familiar with how, for example, different kinds of electoral rules shape political competition. To understand Gelauff and Goel’s findings, it helps to first outline how PB elections differ from one another.

Ballot Design and Voting Methods:


The basic PB setup involves organizers choosing a voting method, a list of projects to potentially be funded, and an authentication process (i.e., checking that participants are valid voters). Voters then select or rank projects given the constraints of each voting rule or method. These three rules, captured in the paper’s title, are as follows: 

The first, “K-approval,” asks voters to select up to “K” projects. The top-voted projects receive funding until the budget runs out. K-approval is simple, but its main drawback is that it ignores the costliness of each project: voters only indicate which projects they like, rather than how those choices fit within a fixed budget. The second method, “K-ranking,” asks voters to rank their preferred projects, capturing their preferences in a more fine-grained manner. As votes are aggregated using the Borda scoring method, higher-ranked projects receive greater weight or value. Finally, the “knapsack” method asks voters to choose projects that fit within a fixed budget. This method best allows participants to balance costs in a way that mimics real city councils. However, knapsack is more complex and time-consuming than K-approval or K-ranking, although the online interface design, which mimics a shopping cart, is already much simpler than it would be on paper. 

Data Collection and Findings:


As mentioned, Gelauff and Goel’s data is drawn from the open-source Stanford PB platform. This tool enables cities to conduct online PB elections with a great deal of customizability, including location, budget, language of operation, authentication process (e.g., requiring personal information or sending SMS messages), as well as methods, phases, and windows of voting. Key for the authors’ purposes, it also tracks (anonymous) voters’ choices and how much time they spend during the election. Data collection began in 2014. 

The first key finding is motivated by the fact that election organizers often prefer K-approval for its simplicity. As such, Gelauff and Goel analyze how much time participants spend on their ballots and how often they quit. Although more complex ballots — those with a larger budget and number of projects — are shown to predict longer completion times, they do not significantly increase dropout rates. The authors note that more research is needed to assess whether knapsack specifically affects dropout.

The authors also find that voters select more expensive projects with K-approval compared to the knapsack methods. However, voters indicate similarly expensive preferences for their most-preferred projects under both methods; the key difference appears lower down the list of preferences, where the knapsack constraint forces them to be more cost-conscious. In other words, the knapsack cost constraint doesn’t affect which expensive project participants most prefer. Rather, it limits how many extra expensive projects they can add.

Overall, “Rank, Pack, or Approve” deepens our understanding of how PB can improve direct democratic engagement while reducing burdens on participants. It does this while providing a large quantity of real-world data, compared with prior research that has relied on crowdworkers without a real stake in the budgeting outcome. The authors helpfully illustrate how local governments can design PB processes that are clearer and more inviting to ordinary voters. Subsequent research will benefit from using this powerful data resource, as will organizers seeking to expand local engagement.

*Brief prepared by Adam Fefer.

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Building with glass doors and polling station signage out front Marilyn Tran via Unsplash
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CDDRL Research-in-Brief [3.5-minute read]

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Lyuba's Hope film poster

Lyuba’s Hope follows Lyubov Sobol, a Russian anti-war opposition politician and anti-corruption figure, who has endured repeated arrests, hunger strikes, aborted political campaigns, attempted poisoning, and exile in her pursuit of a democratic post-Putin Russia.

As head of Alexei Navalny’s Anti-Corruption Foundation, Sobol advanced pathbreaking investigations, including that of “Putin’s cook,” Prigozhin. In 2026, she was among the fifteen Russian opposition figures admitted to the European Parliament PACE program.

Lyuba, who was a 2022 Visiting Scholar at Stanford’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL), will join us in person for the screening of Lyuba’s Hope, along with noted Russian-American director Marianna Yarovskaya and Paul Gregory, Hoover Research Fellow and producer. Discussion will be moderated by Kathryn Stoner, Mosbacher Director of CDDRL and Satre Family Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies.

Gregory and Yarovskaya’s previous film collaboration, Women of the Gulag, was shortlisted for an Academy Award in 2018.

This event is sponsored by the Hoover History Lab, in partnership with the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law, the Center for Russian, East European and Eurasian Studies, and the Department of Slavic Languages and Literatures.
 

Logos for Hoover History Lab, CREEES, and CDDRL

Hauck Auditorium, David and Joan Traitel Building of the Hoover Institution
435 Lasuen Mall, Stanford (map)

Film running time: 80 mins. Discussion to follow.

Questions? Please contact rsvp-weisfeld@stanford.edu

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CDDRL Visiting Scholar, 2022
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Lyubov Sobol is a Russian political and public figure. She consistently advocates the democratization of Russia and opposes Putin's policies.

She produces the YouTube channel "Navalny Live" of Alexei Navalny (more than 2.7 million subscribers, more than 90 million views per month, of which more than 20 million unique viewers).

She participated in the election campaign for the Moscow City Duma in 2019 and the State Duma of Russia in 2021 but was illegally admitted because of her political position: opposing the actions of the current government.

In May 2018 she became a member of the Central Council of Alexei Navalny's political party Russia of the Future.

Sobol was a lawyer for the Anti-Corruption Foundation until its closure in 2021.

Lyubov Sobol
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Israeli supreme court
Aerial view of Israel's Supreme Court | Getty Images

On January 4, 2023, the newly elected government led by longtime Prime Minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, unveiled its “judicial reform”: a plan to legislate four constitutional amendments that would effectively dismantle the existing checks on the power of the executive.

Despite having a solid majority in parliament, just one of these amendments passed into law — and was quickly struck down by the Supreme Court. The four amendments were introduced as the reform’s “first phase;” a second phase was never announced.

At the core of this achievement was a small, ad-hoc group of concerned former public servants and activists. Under the group's leadership, initial anti-government protests quickly metastasized into the largest protest movement in Israel’s history. The small leadership group became the Protest Headquarters — a well-oiled protest machine with a full-time staff and thousands of volunteers from 200 organizations. At its peak, the movement had 400,000 people marching in the streets of a country with a population of 10 million.

What were the keys to the Protest Headquarters’ success? In this panel, we ask this of three key members of the Protest Headquarters. We will discuss the mechanisms that enabled its growth, the challenges and lessons learned from the movement, and the future prospects for Israeli democracy, with attention to dilemmas as Israelis return to the polls in late 2026.
 

More About the Speakers:


Yossi Kucik previously held several senior positions in the Israeli public sector, including Director-General of the Prime Minister’s Office, Commissioner of Wages at the Ministry of Finance, and Director-General of the Ministry of Aliyah and Immigrant Absorption, among other key roles. Following his public service career, Kucik transitioned into the private sector. He currently serves as Chairman of Direct Insurance Group, one of Israel’s leading financial groups. In addition, he owns two consulting firms: one specializing in Media strategy and the other focused on compensation and wage consulting. Kucik is also extensively involved in public and social initiatives. He serves as Chairman of Beit Yigal Allon and is a member of the Presidium of the Israel Democracy Institute, among several other public leadership roles. In January 2023, Kucik, together with Orni Petruschka, Dan Halutz, and Yehuda Eder, established the headquarters of the protest movement opposing the Netanyahu government’s proposed judicial overhaul, which they viewed as a threat to Israeli democratic institutions. Joined by additional public figures and activists, the headquarters played a pivotal role in the movement, bringing millions of Israelis to the streets in protest and successfully halting significant parts of the proposed legislation affecting Israel’s democratic framework. Kucik holds an MBA from the Hebrew University, is married to Nirit, a father of three, and a grandfather of four.

Orni Petruschka works to make Israel an open, liberal, and democratic society for all its citizens. In recent years, Orni has been a social entrepreneur. He co-founded the Resistance Headquarters against the current Israeli government; initiated several activities to promote philanthropy, especially for supporting liberal-democracy causes; and was involved in activities for advancing a two-state solution to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict. In addition, Orni co-chairs the Abraham Initiatives, an NGO which promotes equality and inclusion for Israel’s Arab citizens, and serves as Chairman of the Board of Molad — the Center for the Renewal of Israeli Democracy. Previously, Orni served as a fighter pilot in the Israeli Air Force, studied electrical engineering at the Technion and at Cornell University, and had a career as a technology entrepreneur, having started and managed two successful telecom equipment companies that were successfully acquired, one of which was considered a landmark transaction for Israeli high tech. Orni lives in Ramat Gan; he is married and a father of 3 daughters.

Adv. Dina Zilber, former Deputy Attorney General of Israel, is regarded as one of the country’s leading jurists. During her eight-year tenure as Deputy Attorney General (2012–2020), Adv. Zilber was responsible for providing ongoing legal counsel to the government and its various ministries on a wide range of complex, sensitive, and highly consequential matters, and for shaping the Attorney General’s positions across many areas within her responsibility. Prior to this appointment, Adv. Zilber served for 16 years as a senior attorney in the High Court of Justice Department at the State Attorney’s Office, where she represented the State before the Israeli Supreme Court in more than 1,600 petitions concerning major public importance. Adv. Zilber has authored two books: Bureaucracy as Politics (2006) and In the Name of the Law: The Attorney General and the Affairs that Shook the State (2012). She also initiated and edited an additional volume titled Roots in Law, published in honor of Israel’s 70th anniversary — a panoramic collection surveying the development of Israeli legal practice from the founding of the state to the present day, written by legal professionals from across all generations and departments of the Ministry of Justice. Adv. Zilber has received numerous public honors and awards, including the “Women at the Forefront” Award in the Government and Politics category (2017); the Leon Charney Award of Recognition from the Deborah Forum – Women in Foreign Policy and National Security (2018); the Transparency Shield Award from Transparency International Israel (2019); the Gorny Award for Public Sector Jurists (2020); and the Knight of Quality Government Award in the Executive Branch category (2020). Adv. Zilber holds an LL.M. with honors from Tel Aviv University. Over the years, she has taught undergraduate and graduate law students at various academic institutions. She lectures extensively in public and professional forums, and regularly publishes both legal scholarship and opinion articles in the press. Since the onset of Israel's judicial overhaul, she has also served as a key member of the Protest Headquarters Advisory Board.
 

About the Series


Lessons from Global Democratic Resistance is a public panel series that brings together frontline activists, civic leaders, institutional actors, and field‑informed scholars to examine how democratic actors have resisted, responded to, and learned from democratic backsliding across countries. The series aims to identify practical lessons and comparative insights for those defending democracy today and is organized by the Ash Center for Democratic Governance at the Harvard Kennedy School in collaboration with the Cornell Center on Global Democracy; Perry World House at the University of Pennsylvania; the Kellogg Institute for International Studies at the University of Notre Dame; the Democratic Futures Project at the University of Virginia; Stanford’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law; and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
 

Event Details


This event is online only, and registration is required. A recording will be made available after the event’s conclusion. The information collected in the registration form is for internal use only and will not be shared externally.

Amichai Magen
Amichai Magen

Online via Zoom. Registration is required.

For questions, please contact israelstudies@stanford.edu.

Yossi Kucik
Orni Petruschka
Dina Zilber
Israel Studies
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Surina Naran
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Katherine Casey, professor of political economy at Stanford Graduate School of Business and the faculty director of the King Center on Global Development, presented her team’s work in a CDDRL Research Seminar on Thursday, May 7. Casey opened her talk establishing that citizen esteem for politicians is on the decline. In the U.S., only 16 percent trust the federal government. Across 30 African countries, while 75 percent believe elections are the best way to choose leaders, only 37 percent are satisfied with how their democracies are working. Casey asserts that the root of this dissatisfaction runs deep, ultimately posing the question: how can high-human-capital, representative individuals be identified, screened, encouraged to run for office, and brought into consideration by political parties? 

Casey’s team examined local governance in Sierra Leone to answer this question, partnering with government and civil society to test an intervention designed to induce candidate entry. The field experiment was a nationwide, randomized controlled trial covering all fourteen local district councils in Sierra Leone. The team chose to focus on local councils because the barriers to entry are low, the work requires competence but is not particularly specialized, and its part-time nature allows candidates to run without quitting their day jobs. The experiment included two rounds of random assignment and implementation. 

The experiment focused on three headline factors: representation, quality, and gatekeeping. During the representation phase, the field team visited villages and spoke with residents to better understand who they would want to represent them. These nominees were then screened for quality using metrics for human capital, work experience, local experience, managerial capital, and conscientiousness. After this screening, candidates' profiles were sent to political parties. Of those nominated at the representation level, 85 percent were willing to share their profiles, and 89 percent said they were interested in running for office. 

When conducting analysis, Casey’s team found that top nominees from the representation stage score higher than both status quo applicants and incumbents on quality metrics, differences that are large in magnitude and highly statistically significant. Many top nominees came from traditional authority lineages, and many work in education, positioning them as alternative elites. Among lower-ranked nominees, only 16 percent ultimately entered electoral races, but this rate rose to 25 percent among top-ranked nominees.  Their entry enhanced the maximum observed quality of applicants in the potential candidate pool.

Analysis was then conducted to determine whether the parties selected any nominees from the profiles, which found that nearly all wards had at least one candidate selected and that nominations increased the likelihood that a local woman would make the candidate list.  Incumbents were highly favored in this election, leaving little space for new entrants to win elected seats.

Casey ended her talk with a few conclusions. Firstly, the intervention successfully identified popular, high-quality, new entrants to politics, drawn from a different set of elites. The nominees self-selected into the entry on quality, boasting the highest observed quality among applicants and selected candidates, which also showed that representation need not trade off quality. Casey’s team also found a challenge in translating willingness to run into formal applications, a challenge she believes could be honed in on with more recruitment efforts. Ultimately, the collaboration between research and policymakers crafted a unique model to empower dissatisfied voters to nominate leaders they want to see in office. 

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Peter Magyar, lead candidate of the Tisza party, speaks to supporters after the Tisza party won the parliamentary elections on April 12, 2026 in Budapest, Hungary.
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Hungary’s 2026 Election Signals Democratic Shift

Scholars Daniel Keleman and Hanna Folsz examine the defeat of Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz Party and the implications for Hungary and Europe.
Hungary’s 2026 Election Signals Democratic Shift
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Katherine Case presented her research in a CDDRL seminar on May 7, 2026.
Katherine Case presented her research in a CDDRL seminar on May 7, 2026.
Surina Naran
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Katherine Casey’s research finds that while community nominations can surface strong entrants, barriers to candidacy remain.

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  • Katherine Casey presented research examining how to identify and encourage high-quality candidates to run for local office.
  • A nationwide field experiment in Sierra Leone found community nominations surfaced candidates who outperformed incumbents on key quality measures.
  • While top nominees were more likely to enter races, party preferences for incumbents limited new candidates’ electoral success.
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Héctor Fuentes
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In October 2025, the Democracy Action Lab (DAL) celebrated its launch in Mexico City, marking the beginning of a bold new initiative by Stanford University’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL). Anchored within Stanford’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), DAL is co-directed by Professors Beatriz Magaloni, the Graham H. Stuart Professor of International Relations and FSI Senior Fellow, and Alberto Díaz-Cayeros, FSI Senior Fellow at CDDRL.

DAL seeks to bridge rigorous academic research with the practical challenges faced by activists, policymakers, and civic leaders confronting democratic backsliding around the world. Mexico City was chosen for the launch for both symbolic and substantive reasons: it is one of Latin America’s foremost intellectual hubs and home to one of the region’s most vibrant civil society ecosystems.

But the decision to launch DAL in Mexico City also reflects the Lab’s deep commitment to maintaining an active presence in Latin America and to forging meaningful, long-term connections between Stanford and the region. Understanding democratic backsliding and resilience in Latin America requires grounding analysis in rigorous evidence and empirical research, and in close collaboration with local scholars, universities, civil society organizations, and democratic actors. By beginning our public journey in CDMX, Stanford’s Democracy Action Lab signals its intent to co-produce knowledge with regional partners and to engage directly with democracy defenders on the front lines.

Over three days, the DAL team met with one of the newly appointed Supreme Court Justices, members of the board of electoral authorities, a panel of security experts, and held meetings with academics and civil society partners. The centerpiece of the visit was a public inaugural conference with a keynote session by Adam Przeworksi and Beatriz Magaloni at El Colegio de Mexico, one of Mexico’s most prestigious academic institutions. Together, these engagements reflected the Lab’s central mission: to co-create actionable, evidence-based strategies that help societies defend, renew, and reimagine democracy amid the pressures of erosion and authoritarian resilience.

Below are some of the most significant activities from the series of events that marked the Democracy Action Lab’s launch in Mexico. The Lab’s launch is made possible through the support of VélezReyes+ and the Zampa Foundation.
 



Meeting with Minister Giovanni Figueroa — Supreme Court of Justice of the Nation


On October 29, the DAL delegation, led by Professors Magaloni and Díaz-Cayeros, along with Kim Juárez, a research affiliate at DAL, was received at Mexico’s Supreme Court of Justice by Minister Giovanni Figueroa. Justice Figueroa is one of the nine Supreme Court judges, one of the first ministers to reach the bench under Mexico's new constitutional reform, which, for the first time in the country's history, requires all federal judges to be chosen by direct popular vote.

Minister Figueroa, a distinguished constitutional scholar, has long advocated for a judiciary that is accessible, socially responsive, and attuned to Mexico’s constitutional challenges. The dialogue examined the capacity of constitutional courts to defend democratic principles in increasingly polarized environments, with particular attention to Mexico’s new judicial reform that introduces popular elections for all judges. These developments echo the broader questions explored in DAL’s comparative work on the resilience and design of rule-of-law institutions. The visit to the Mexican Supreme Court also included a tour of the “Un clamor por la justicia. Siete crímenes mayores” by Rafael Cauduro.

For the DAL team, this meeting set the tone for the visit: connecting high-level constitutional debates to the Lab’s broader effort to fortify and reconfigure democratic institutions from within.

Dr. Alberto Díaz Cayeros, Dr. Beatriz Magaloni, Justice Giovanni Figueroa, and Mr. Kim Juarez at the Supreme Court
Dr. Alberto Díaz Cayeros, Dr. Beatriz Magaloni, Justice Giovanni Figueroa, and Mr. Kim Juarez at the Supreme Court. | Manuel Ortiz


Roundtable on Security and the “Bukele Model” — Hosted by Lantia and Eduardo Guerrero


One of the trip’s most dynamic discussions took place at El Colegio de México on October 30, where DAL co-hosted a closed-door roundtable on security and authoritarian drift in Latin America. Organized by Lantia Consultores and security expert Eduardo Guerrero, the session convened some of the leading experts on security in Mexico.

Participants included public security policymakers of the highest level, including police chiefs, cabinet advisors, journalists, and scholars, who debated the appeal and risks of the so-called “Bukele Model” — the Salvadoran government’s aggressive anti-crime strategy — within the Mexican context. The conversation, held under Chatham House rules, examined how citizen demand for security can erode democratic checks and liberties if not balanced by institutional safeguards.

The security meeting discussion centered on Beatriz Magaloni’s presentation of her field research on El Salvador’s “Bukele model” of public security and its broader implications for Latin America. Magaloni explained how President Nayib Bukele’s approach — initially framed as a successful anti-crime policy — rests on prolonged states of exception, mass arbitrary detentions, and fabricated arrests incentivized through police quotas and bounties. She described widespread abuses inside Salvadoran prisons, where thousands of innocent civilians, many poor and rural, are detained without due process and subjected to inhumane conditions.

This exchange epitomized DAL’s commitment to generating cross-sectoral, evidence-based dialogue that bridges policy, academia, and civic engagement — helping Latin American societies navigate the tension between security and democracy.

Participants compared these dynamics to Mexico’s own prison system and warned that similar practices could take root in democracies under pressure. They discussed the popular appeal of punitive “mano dura” policies, the risk of their normalization in fragile democracies, and the absence of credible alternatives in citizen security policy. The group emphasized the need for rights-based, community-centered models of public safety, stronger rule of law, and social prevention measures. The conversation concluded with a shared concern that the Bukele model’s political success could inspire copycat versions across the region — including in Mexico — if democratic actors fail to deliver both security and justice simultaneously.

Dr. Beatriz Magaloni, Tara Hein (DAL research affiliate, PhD Candidate at Harvard, and CDDRL Fisher Family Honors Class of 2023), Tamara Taraciuk (Vice President for Democracy at the VélezReyes+ Philanthropic Platform), and Dr. Alberto Díaz-Cayeros at El Colegio de México.
Dr. Beatriz Magaloni, Tara Hein (DAL research affiliate, PhD Candidate at Harvard, and CDDRL Fisher Family Honors Class of 2023), Tamara Taraciuk (Vice President for Democracy at VélezReyes+), and Dr. Alberto Díaz-Cayeros at El Colegio de México. | Alberto Díaz-Cayeros
Security expert Eduardo Guerrero, Dr. Beatriz Magaloni, Dr. Alberto Díaz-Cayeros, and Dr. Adam Prezworski during the closed-door security roundtable, held under Chatham House rules at El Colegio de México.
Security expert Eduardo Guerrero, Dr. Beatriz Magaloni, Dr. Alberto Díaz-Cayeros, and Dr. Adam Prezworski during the closed-door security roundtable, held under Chatham House rules at El Colegio de México. | Manuel Ortiz


Inaugural Conference at El Colegio de México: “A Half-Century After the Third Wave of Democratization”


The centerpiece of the launch was the public inaugural conference, held in the Alfonso Reyes Auditorium at El Colegio de México (Colmex) on October 30, one of Latin America’s premier academic institutions.

The event was co-hosted by Colmex’s Centro de Estudios Internacionales (CEI) and featured welcoming remarks from Dr. Ana Covarrubias Velasco, President of Colmex, who highlighted that the partnership “marks a new chapter in the internationalization of our work and our shared commitment to the study and defense of democracy.”

Professor Alberto Díaz-Cayeros presented DAL's mission, describing it as “a response to the global democratic crisis — an initiative that seeks to co-create, alongside those on the frontlines of democratic defense, new analytical tools and strategic responses to authoritarian threats.

Tamara Taraciuk, Vice President for Democracy at the VélezReyes+ Philanthropic Platform, one of the initial funders of DAL, emphasized the urgency of moving “from diagnosis to action,” and outlined the foundation’s support for DAL’s mission to connect academic rigor with democratic innovation in Latin America.

The center of the conference was the lectures of professors Adam Przeworski and Beatriz Magaloni, reflecting on “Authoritarianism and Democracy Half a Century After the Third Wave.” 

Adam Przeworski delivered a profound reflection on the conditions under which democracies survive or collapse, drawing on his intellectual journey from witnessing the 1973 coup in Chile to observing today’s democratic crises in the United States. He contrasted two conceptions of democracy: the maximalist vision, which aspires to equality and justice, and the minimalist or procedural one, centered on competition and the peaceful alternation of power.

Based on decades of comparative research, Przeworski explained that democracies tend to endure in wealthy societies with repeated peaceful transfers of power, where political stakes are relatively moderate. Yet, the U.S. case challenges this logic: despite meeting these conditions, its institutions show signs of internal erosion. He called this not only a political crisis but also an intellectual crisis for political science, since classical theories no longer explain contemporary fragility. Przeworski concluded that it is no longer enough to defend democracy; we must reform and reinvent it, combining rigorous inquiry with practical experimentation of the kind advanced by the Democracy Action Lab.

Beatriz Magaloni focused on democratic backsliding in Latin America, emphasizing the cases of El Salvador, Venezuela, and Mexico. She noted that although the region is living through its most democratic era in history, since 2013 it has faced a gradual erosion of liberal institutions — judicial independence, checks and balances, press freedom, and civil rights — driven by democratically elected leaders. Unlike the military coups of the past, today’s threats arise from within the system, through legal reforms and popular mandates that progressively concentrate power.

Magaloni identified the Bukele model in El Salvador as a regional turning point: a democratically elected leader who uses the promise of security to justify authoritarian practices and gains massive popular approval. She argued that citizens’ support for democracy depends not only on normative commitment but also on performance legitimacy — whether democratic regimes deliver security, justice, and economic opportunity. When democracies fail to meet these expectations, authoritarian alternatives gain appeal. Magaloni concluded that defending democracy in Latin America requires restoring citizens’ trust through tangible results, especially in the areas of security, inequality, and public services.

The keynote sessions concluded with a lively exchange between the speakers and the audience, reflecting the strong public interest in the themes of democracy and authoritarianism. Attendees noted that they had rarely seen the Sala Alfonso Reyes so full — an estimated 300 people packed the auditorium, underscoring the significance of the discussion and the enthusiasm surrounding the Democracy Action Lab’s launch in Mexico City.



Reception at Librería and Gallery Miguel Angel Porrúa: A Gathering of Scholars and Civil Society


After the inaugural conference, a special reception was held at Librería Miguel Angel Porrúa, one of the country’s most emblematic cultural spaces and a historic venue for intellectual and civic debate. The event brought together an extraordinary community of scholars, researchers, journalists, civic leaders, and members of civil society organizations working on democracy, human rights, security, and governance across Mexico.

The reception served as more than a celebratory gathering — it was a forum for substantive dialogue. Attendees engaged with DAL’s mission and shared reflections on the urgent challenges facing democracy in Latin America at a time marked by rising political polarization, institutional weakening, and escalating pressures on civic space. The discussions underscored the vital role that empirical research, cross-sector collaboration, and evidence-based policymaking must play in strengthening democratic institutions.

The atmosphere at Porrúa reflected both concern and hope: concern over the democratic erosion sweeping the region, and hope that networks such as DAL can help generate new knowledge, amplify local expertise, and support the resilience of democratic actors in Mexico and beyond. The reception marked an important first step in positioning DAL as a convening platform that listens to, learns from, and engages directly with those shaping the future of democracy on the ground.

Prof. Adam Przeworski talking to reception attendees, including Miguel Ángel Porrúa (front right), founder of the publishing house.
Prof. Adam Przeworski talking to reception attendees, including Miguel Ángel Porrúa (front right), founder of the publishing house. | Manuel Ortiz


Visit to Mexico’s National Electoral Institute (INE)


On October 31, the Democracy Action Lab delegation visited Mexico’s Instituto Nacional Electoral (INE), meeting with Electoral Councilors Carla Humphrey, Claudia Zavala, Martín Faz, Arturo Castillo, and Uuc-kib Espadas Ancon. The dialogue centered on the institution’s enduring role as a cornerstone of Mexico’s democratic transformation.

Created in the wake of Mexico’s transition from single-party dominance to competitive pluralism in the 1990s, INE (formerly IFE) emerged as one of the region’s most trusted electoral authorities — instrumental in ensuring free, transparent, and credible elections after decades of state-controlled contests. Its establishment marked a turning point in Latin America’s third wave of democratization, proving that institutional reform could anchor democratic legitimacy.

During the meeting, participants discussed how INE continues to safeguard electoral independence and citizen trust amid new challenges: political polarization, disinformation, and attempts to weaken autonomous institutions. For the Democracy Action Lab, the visit underscored the importance of institutional integrity as both a historical achievement and a living frontier in the struggle to sustain democracy across the region.

Prof. Adam Przeworski, Prof. Beatriz Magaloni, Prof. Alberto Díaz-Cayeros, Kim Juarez, and Tara Hein in front of the Instituto Nacional Electoral.
Prof. Adam Przeworski, Prof. Beatriz Magaloni, Prof. Alberto Díaz-Cayeros, Kim Juarez, and Tara Hein in front of the Instituto Nacional Electoral. | Manuel Ortiz
Prof. Adam Prezworski and Prof. Beatriz Magaloni at the Instituto Nacional Electoral.
Prof. Adam Prezworski and Prof. Beatriz Magaloni at the Instituto Nacional Electoral. | Manuel Ortiz


Academic Collaborations: Building a Network for Democratic Research


Later that day, the Democracy Action Lab held a working session with the Colmex–Stanford Research Group, bringing together scholars from Colmex. The conversation focused on identifying joint research agendas that could bridge theoretical insights and policy relevance in areas such as democratic resilience, social cohesion, governance, and state capacity. Participants discussed the design of comparative studies on democratic backsliding and institutional trust, as well as methodological strategies — ranging from survey experiments to subnational diagnostics — that could capture how citizens experience and respond to democratic erosion. The session reinforced the shared commitment of Colmex and Stanford to building evidence-based frameworks that inform both academic debate and practical reform.

The visit concluded with a working lunch at ITAM, where the discussion turned toward the economic and institutional dimensions of democratic performance. Faculty members reflected on the intersection between governance quality, inequality, and citizen trust, exploring opportunities for collaboration in the study of fiscal accountability and electoral behavior. These exchanges deepened DAL’s partnerships with Mexico’s leading universities — El Colegio de México and ITAM — and laid the groundwork for a regional academic consortium capable of producing comparative insights and applied tools for democratic renewal across Latin America.

The DAL delegation meets with researchers from ITAM.
The DAL delegation meets with researchers from ITAM. | Manuel Ortiz


Mexico as a Bridge for a Regional Effort


The Mexico City launch of the Democracy Action Lab marked more than the beginning of a new Stanford initiative: it represented a regional call to action.

As Professor Magaloni noted, Latin America today is both a region of growing democratic threats and extraordinary democratic courage. By starting in Mexico, DAL affirms its belief that the defense and reimagination of democracy must be both locally grounded and globally connected.

Through research, dialogue, and partnership, the Democracy Action Lab seeks to build the tools, coalitions, and evidence needed to confront authoritarian resurgence and renew faith in democratic governance, beginning in Latin America and reaching far beyond.

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Prof. Adam Prezworski, Prof. Beatriz Magaloni, and Prof. Alberto Díaz Cayeros present during DAL’s Inaugural Conference at El Colegio de Mexico.
Prof. Adam Prezworski, Prof. Beatriz Magaloni, and Prof. Alberto Díaz Cayeros present during DAL’s Inaugural Conference at El Colegio de Mexico.
Manuel Ortiz
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The new initiative from the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law connects research with frontline efforts to address democratic backsliding across Latin America.

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  • CDDRL’s Democracy Action Lab celebrated its launch in Mexico City in October 2025, signaling a long-term effort to engage directly with democratic actors across Latin America.
  • The Lab brings together scholars, policymakers, and civil society actors to co-develop evidence-based strategies addressing democratic backsliding in Latin America.
  • Through high-level meetings and a public conference, the launch emphasized regional collaboration to strengthen democratic institutions and public trust.
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As questions about democratic governance, institutional resilience, and authoritarian power become increasingly central to public life around the world, the need for rigorous, accessible scholarship has grown more urgent. Effective May 15, 2026, a new partnership between Stanford’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL) and the Journal of Democracy will expand Stanford’s role in those conversations. Through the partnership, CDDRL will support the production of the Journal’s quarterly print issues and expanding digital content, while creating new opportunities for faculty, researchers, and students to contribute to its work. 

Since 1990, the Journal of Democracy has served as a major forum for scholars, policymakers, democratic reformers, and public intellectuals examining how democracy emerges, endures, and comes under strain. Widely regarded as the leading global publication on democratic theory and practice, the Journal has played a central role in shaping debates on democracy worldwide. Previously, the Journal was housed within the National Endowment for Democracy — a private, nonprofit foundation dedicated to the growth and strengthening of democratic institutions around the world. The Journal was co-founded by Larry Diamond, the Mosbacher Senior Fellow in Global Democracy at CDDRL within the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), who served as founding co-editor for the Journal's first 32 years. 

A natural alignment with CDDRL’s work


The partnership is a natural fit for CDDRL, which brings scholarship and practice together to examine the forces that advance or impede representative governance, human development, and the rule of law. It also builds on long-standing connections between the center and the Journal of Democracy: many CDDRL-affiliated faculty have contributed to the Journal over the years, and its focus closely aligns with the center’s research, teaching, and practitioner training programs. Moreover, CDDRL is already deeply engaged in the kinds of questions the Journal has long brought to wide audiences — whether through the Fisher Family Summer Fellows Program, which brings civil society leaders from developing and transitioning countries to Stanford for intensive training in democratic practice and reform, the Democracy Action Lab’s work on democratic resilience, or the Leadership Academy for Development’s training for leaders advancing good governance and economic development.  

More broadly, the partnership reflects CDDRL’s research and teaching agenda, which focuses on the institutions, ideas, and political forces shaping democratic resilience, authoritarianism, and governance around the world. Across its faculty, fellows, students, and training programs, the center takes an interdisciplinary approach to some of the most pressing questions in global politics — from democratic backsliding and state capacity to political reform and accountability. The Journal of Democracy offers a complementary platform where that work can reach both academic and public audiences.

Connecting research to practice


For Kathryn Stoner, Mosbacher Director of CDDRL and the Satre Family Senior Fellow at FSI, the partnership highlights how CDDRL’s work connects research to the practical challenges facing democracy.

“One of CDDRL’s core strengths is the ability to take high-quality research theories and methods and apply them to on-the-ground policy challenges,” Stoner said. “The Journal of Democracy serves a similar function in the field of political development. Our new partnership to produce the Journal enhances our global reach in both the international development policy and academic communities.”

CDDRL's new partnership to produce the Journal of Democracy enhances our global reach in both the international development policy and academic communities.
Kathryn Stoner
Mosbacher Director, CDDRL, and Satre Family Senior Fellow, FSI

At the institute level, the partnership also reinforces Stanford’s broader role in advancing research and engagement on democracy.

“As the threats to democratic governance around the world multiply, so too must our commitment to the rigorous, interdisciplinary scholarship that seeks to understand and address them,” said Colin Kahl, director of the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. “Bringing the esteemed Journal of Democracy to CDDRL creates a powerful nexus for this vital work, strengthening FSI's role as a global leader in the study of democracy."

At the same time, the partnership comes at a moment of heightened global pressure on democratic institutions, underscoring the importance of the Journal’s role in the field.

“We are now in the twentieth consecutive year of global democratic decline — no longer just a ‘democratic recession,’ but a broader wave of authoritarian reversals,” said Larry Diamond. “Yet the struggle for democracy continues. Now more than ever, we need to understand both the causes of democratic decay and the conditions for recovery and renewal. The Journal of Democracy is unique in combining rigorous scholarship with timely, accessible analysis of developments around the world.”

For Stanford students, the partnership creates a more direct pathway into the world of ideas, publishing, and public scholarship. Through new editorial internships, undergraduates and recent graduate alumni can gain hands-on experience working with a leading journal that bridges scholarship and practice.

It also strengthens Stanford’s intellectual presence in democracy studies by giving CDDRL-affiliated faculty a more formal role in supporting the Journal’s work through serving on its editorial board. Stanford faculty will contribute to the Journal’s editorial mission, inspire new lines of inquiry, and help to identify emerging areas of research to be explored in its pages.

“This partnership with CDDRL is exceptionally exciting for the Journal of Democracy and its readers,” shared Will Dobson, the Journal’s co-editor. “CDDRL is not only the leading research center in the field, but its long history of collaboration with the Journal makes this a natural fit. We are thrilled to be working with CDDRL and with the possibilities this partnership will unlock.”

CDDRL is not only the leading research center in the field, but its long history of collaboration with the Journal makes this a natural fit.
William J. Dobson
Co-editor, Journal of Democracy

With a wide readership and growing digital footprint, the Journal of Democracy reaches audiences across academia, government, journalism, and civil society. It publishes roughly 100 online-exclusive essays each year alongside its quarterly print issues and engages readers through newsletters with more than 20,000 subscribers, across social media, in Apple News, and on leading podcasts. As the most-read journal in the Johns Hopkins University Press portfolio of more than 750 publications, it has become a central venue for ideas about democratic governance and political change worldwide. Through its partnership with CDDRL, the Journal is positioned to expand that reach even further — drawing on Stanford’s research community and global practitioner networks to bring new voices and perspectives into the conversation.

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The partnership will open opportunities for Stanford faculty and students at one of the world's leading forums for democratic thought and practice, and further position CDDRL as a global leader among research centers in the field.

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In Brief
  • Beginning May 2026, CDDRL will support the production of the Journal of Democracy’s quarterly print issues and expanding digital content.
  • The partnership gives Stanford faculty a formal role in shaping the Journal’s editorial direction and offers students hands-on experience in the publishing process.
  • The collaboration links CDDRL’s research and training with a leading global publication, shaping how ideas about democracy are developed and debated worldwide.
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Seoul National Assembly

What does it actually take to push back against democratic backsliding — not in theory, but in real time? On December 3, 2024, President Yoon Suk Yeol declared emergency martial law in violation of the South Korean Constitution. Had key figures from democratic institutions and civil society been even a few minutes slower to respond, the National Assembly could have been sealed off, and martial law might have succeeded.

This discussion will take you inside that night through the voices of those who were there. Bringing together a journalist, legal scholar, human rights advocate, and civil society leader directly involved in the crisis, the panel will examine what made such immediate democratic resilience possible.

Drawing on their experience, speakers will explore: how the media resisted suppression leading up to and during the crisis; the constitutional and political dynamics behind the lifting of martial law and the impeachment process;  how human rights advocates monitored military deployment and conduct; and how civil society rapidly mobilized to build broad democratic solidarity over the impeachment process. This discussion will offer timely lessons for democracies navigating democratic backsliding.
 

Speakers:
 

  • Jeeyang Rhee Baum (Moderator), Adjunct Lecturer in Public Policy and Faculty Affiliate, Harvard Kennedy School
  • Young-jong Jin, Co-Chair, People’s Solidarity for Participatory Democracy, South Korea
  • Jikyung Kim, MBC Journalist, Chair, Gender Equality Committee, National Union of Mediaworkers, South Korea
  • Sang-don Lee, Emeritus Professor of Law, Chung-Ang University, former Member of the National Assembly, South Korea
  • Tae-hoon Lim, Director, Center for Military Human Rights, South Korea
     

About the Series


Lessons from Global Democratic Resistance is a public panel series that brings together frontline activists, civic leaders, institutional actors, and field‑informed scholars to examine how democratic actors have resisted, responded to, and learned from democratic backsliding across countries. The series aims to identify practical lessons and comparative insights for those defending democracy today and is organized by the Ash Center for Democratic Governance at the Harvard Kennedy School in collaboration with the Cornell Center on Global Democracy; Perry World House at the University of Pennsylvania; the Kellogg Institute for International Studies at the University of Notre Dame; the Democratic Futures Project at the University of Virginia; Stanford’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law; and the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
 

Event Details


This event is online only, and registration is required. A recording will be made available after the event’s conclusion. The information collected in the registration form is for internal use only and will not be shared externally.

The Ash Center encourages individuals with disabilities to participate in its events. Should you wish to enquire about an accommodation, please contact our events team at info@ash.harvard.edu prior to the event.

Online via Zoom. Registration is required.

For questions, please contact info@ash.harvard.edu.

Panel Discussions

Join a discussion on South Korea’s December 3 Martial Law Crisis that will bring you into that night through the firsthand accounts of those who experienced it.

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