Economic Affairs
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G101 – Gunn Building, Stanford Graduate School of Business
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Amit Seru
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George G.C. Parker Professor of Finance and Economics, Stanford Graduate School of Business
Director of the Corporations and Society Initiative, Stanford Graduate School of Business
Director of the Program on Capitalism and Democracy, Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law
Senior Fellow, Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research
Senior Fellow (by courtesy), Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
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Anat R. Admati is the George G.C. Parker Professor of Finance and Economics at Stanford University Graduate School of Business (GSB), a Faculty Director of the GSB Corporations and Society Initiative, and a senior fellow at Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research. She has written extensively on information dissemination in financial markets, portfolio management, financial contracting, corporate governance and banking. Admati’s current research, teaching and advocacy focus on the complex interactions between business, law, and policy with focus on governance and accountability.

Since 2010, Admati has been active in the policy debate on financial regulations. She is the co-author, with Martin Hellwig, of the award-winning and highly acclaimed book The Bankers’ New Clothes: What’s Wrong with Banking and What to Do about It (Princeton University Press, 2013; bankersnewclothes.com). In 2014, she was named by Time Magazine as one of the 100 most influential people in the world and by Foreign Policy Magazine as among 100 global thinkers.

Admati holds BSc from the Hebrew University, MA, MPhil and PhD from Yale University, and an honorary doctorate from University of Zurich. She is a fellow of the Econometric Society, the recipient of multiple fellowships, research grants, and paper recognition, and is a past board member of the American Finance Association. She has served on a number of editorial boards and is a member of the FDIC’s Systemic Resolution Advisory Committee, a former member of the CFTC’s Market Risk Advisory Committee, and a former visiting scholar at the International Monetary Fund.

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Anat R. Admati
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Professors Anat Admati and Amit Seru discuss the current state of institutions, dynamics, and evolving boundaries of authority in economic decision making and banking.

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Existing efforts to promote upward mobility in low-income countries focus on broadening access to education. However, evidence from Ethiopia shows that professional socialisation (learning professional norms) may be a key constraint to this mobility, even among highly educated people.

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VoxDev
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Marcel Fafchamps
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In the eleventh century, when Europe was still backward and poor, China was a rich and sophisticated civilization. Yet Europe became the birthplace of democracy and the Industrial Revolution, driving the Great Enrichment, while China stagnated until the end of the twentieth century and was always ruled by autocracies. Two Paths to Prosperity traces the emergence of two very different social organizations in premodern China and Europe — the clan and the corporation — showing how they were key factors in the economic and political divergence of these two great civilizations.

Cover of "Two Paths to Prosperity"

In this landmark book, three leading economists offer a bold new account of why Europe and China evolved along such different trajectories. In the early Middle Ages, public goods like risk sharing, religious worship, education, and conflict resolution were provided by nonstate organizations in both societies. China increasingly relied on kin-based cooperation within clans, while weaker kinship ties in Europe gave rise to corporations such as guilds, universities, and self-governing towns. Despite performing similar functions, clans and corporations were built on very different principles — with lasting consequences until today.

Providing a novel answer to a fundamental question in economic and political history, Two Paths to Prosperity shows how extended kinship in Chinese society facilitated the consolidation of autocracy and hindered innovation and economic development, and how corporations in Europe influenced emerging state institutions and set the stage for the Industrial Revolution.

AWARDS & RECOGNITION

 

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Avner Greif
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Princeton University Press
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We propose an improved theoretically-grounded method to test for efficient risk pooling that allows for intertemporal smoothing, non-homothetic consumption, and heterogeneous risk and time preferences. Applying this method to recent panel data from Indian villages generates important new insights while confirming some earlier findings. Year-to-year smoothing of consumption takes place much more at the village level than at the individual level and occurs primarily through financial assets. While there is proportionally more smoothing of food than non-food consumption, accounting for differences in income elasticities between the two statistically eliminates this difference, indicating that risk pooling does not distort consumption choices in our study area. Finally, we find that consumption smoothing is affected jointly by income and liquid assets, and that there is no excess sensitivity to earned income.

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Journal of Development Economics
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Marcel Fafchamps
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February 2026, 103685
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Overview and Contributions:


In “Profitable Misconduct, Corporate Governance, and Law Enforcement,” Anat R. Admati, Nathan Atkinson, and Paul Pfleiderer show how misconduct, managerial compensation, and enforcement policy are closely — and at times perniciously — related. Corporate misconduct can cause extensive harm, including death, physical and mental injury, and environmental destruction. Profit-maximizing corporations can also harm democracy and the rule of law by impacting both the language and the enforcement of the law. This paper focuses on a situation in which, as is often the case, law enforcement efforts to address corporate misconduct are ineffective. There are many reasons for this situation, including difficulties in monitoring opaque corporations and detecting misconduct, as well as the many ways corporations can limit their liabilities.

The authors show that when managerial compensation aims to motivate maximizing profits for shareholders, managers will generally engage in profitable misconduct and, importantly, that corporations can reduce or nullify the deterrence effects of fines and penalties that target either the corporation or managers directly might have, thus further weakening already insufficient enforcement. They also show that common enforcement policies, such as those that offer discounted fines when corporations self-report misconduct or implement compliance programs, can backfire and exacerbate harm by making misconduct more profitable. Understanding corporations' strategic responses to law enforcement is essential for designing more effective policies to deter misconduct.
 


Understanding corporations' strategic responses to law enforcement is essential for designing more effective policies to deter misconduct.


Corporate Governance, Misconduct, and Law:


The authors begin by discussing why the policing of corporate misconduct is so difficult. One problem arises because corporations are collections of individuals, which renders responsibility diffuse and complicates the identification of perpetrators. Detecting misconduct often depends on highly visible, chance events such as plane crashes, whistle-blowing, or media investigations. When the profits gained from misconduct exceed the expected fines and other financial consequences, executives may view misconduct as a “cost of doing business.” Other problems are due to the difficulties encountered in estimating the extent of the harm and the limitations on the penalties that can be imposed. Even when misconduct is detected, fines often fall short of the corporation’s private gains from that misconduct. In notable cases, corporations can limit the consequences by declaring bankruptcy. It is also very rare for directors and executives to face meaningful criminal liability.

Governments have often been unsuccessful in prosecuting misconduct because of the high legal bar required to show personal intent to commit crimes and the reticence of prosecutors to pursue challenging cases due to career concerns and limited resources, especially relative to the resources corporations can access. As we saw in the financial crisis, authorities often worry about targeting “important” corporations and imposing significant fines and sanctions.
 


Governments have often been unsuccessful in prosecuting misconduct because of the high legal bar required to show personal intent to commit crimes and the reticence of prosecutors to pursue challenging cases due to career concerns and limited resources.


Argument and Implications:


The authors’ mathematical model captures some of the complexities involved in the interactions among corporations, managers, and governments. One of the values of a model is that it can show how well-intentioned and seemingly reasonable policies can be counterproductive once one accounts for various ways profit-maximizing actors will respond. The authors consider, for example, some policies that have been designed to increase the probability that misconduct will be detected in a timely way. These policies encourage corporations to implement “compliance” programs or to self-report misconduct by promising that any fines they must pay will be heavily discounted. Using their model to analyze the effectiveness of this approach, the authors find that these policies can make matters much worse. This is because the discounted fines can increase the profitability of misconduct while it is undetected or not self-reported. This can lead to firms engaging more aggressively in misconduct, knowing that this can be self-reported later, and the corporation will be subject to reduced fines. If corporations strategically take all this into account, the total harm may actually increase. The authors are not contending that these policies will always increase harm, but they are pointing out that these policies are quite likely to be inferior to others that don’t allow strategic responses that can make things worse.

One reason that the fines imposed directly on corporations are often inadequate to deter misconduct is that authorities are reluctant to levy sufficiently large fines because they fear this will lead to “collateral damage” suffered by innocent stakeholders like employees and customers. These concerns are allayed if, instead of corporate-level fines, large fines are imposed on managers. The authors’ model shows that it can be very expensive for shareholders to offset the potential deterrence effects of managerial fines if the only way shareholders can do this is by increasing the manager’s stock-based compensation to make misconduct more rewarding relative to the level of fines. Because it is so expensive for the corporation and shareholders to respond in this way, relying more on managerial fines might be a good policy. Unfortunately, shareholders have much less expensive ways to offset fines on managers — they can indemnify the manager or provide insurance that pays for fines. Essentially, they can simply offset the fines with cash, which is much cheaper. As the authors point out, this suggests that, to strengthen enforcement and deterrence, limitations on corporations' ability to indemnify and insure managers are likely a good way forward.
 


The model shows it can be expensive for shareholders to offset the potential deterrence effects of managerial fines if the only way shareholders can do this is by increasing the manager’s stock-based compensation to make misconduct more rewarding relative to the level of fines.


One of the main lessons of the authors’ analysis is that internal governance practices set by the corporation and its shareholders can profoundly influence the effectiveness of external governance designed to limit the harm created when corporations and their managers engage in profitable misconduct. Further study of these interactions and their implications for effective enforcement policies is clearly warranted.

*Research-in-Brief prepared by Adam Fefer.

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People standing inside city building Charles Forerunner
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CDDRL Research-in-Brief [3.5-minute read]

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Do individuals contribute to public service provision when others in the community shirk on their taxes? The long-standing literature on conditional cooperation has widely documented a knock-on effect of freeriding. I argue that individuals may turn to civil society as an alternative way to fund public services. First, I leverage a natural experiment in Slovakia, based on the timing of a naming-and-shaming tax policy. Communities exposed to a public disclosure of noncompliance donate 16% more. Second, I replicate this via a survey experiment, showing an increase in charitable giving of 9% as well as eroding faith in the tax system. Highlighting the role of altruism, donations increase the most among respondents who believe their town relies on public services. In a conjoint, treated respondents also preferred public donations, suggesting an additional reputation mechanism. Finally, cross-country survey evidence bolsters external validity, showing a robust correlation between perceived tax cheating and local volunteering.

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American Journal of Political Science
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Simone Paci
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In Nigeria, cash transfers to women increase their desire for agency but only when husbands can't see it — revealing the complex interplay between economic empowerment and social norms.

Women's empowerment remains a central development goal, with policymakers frequently using cash transfer programmes to improve women's status within households (Almås et al. 2018, Duflo 2012, Greco et al. 2025). But do these economic interventions actually change power dynamics, or do they merely shift material outcomes? Our study of married couples in rural Nigeria reveals a surprising answer: cash transfers increase women's desire for decision-making power, but this desire remains hidden.

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VoxDev
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Marcel Fafchamps
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Nensi Hayotsyan
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The "Meet Our Researchers" series showcases the incredible scholars at Stanford’s Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL). Through engaging interviews conducted by our undergraduate research assistants, we explore the journeys, passions, and insights of CDDRL’s faculty and researchers.

Marcel Fafchamps is a Senior Fellow Emeritus at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) and a faculty member at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law. Previously, he was the Satre Family Senior Fellow at FSI. He is also a Professor (by courtesy) in the Department of Economics, and his research focuses on economic development, market institutions, social networks, and behavioral economics, with a regional emphasis on Africa and South Asia. Before joining Stanford, Dr. Fafchamps served as a professor at Oxford University and spent several years in Ethiopia working with the International Labour Organization.

What inspired you to pursue research in your current field, and how did your journey lead you to CDDRL? 


My choice of research field was actually somewhat serendipitous. I wasn’t initially interested in development; I was drawn to human behavior, but not development specifically. After finishing my undergraduate studies, I went to Ethiopia for what was meant to be just one year and ended up staying nearly five. Being there completely changed my direction. As a young graduate, I suddenly had a lot of freedom. I carried out individual research, traveled on missions to several African countries, observed institutions, asked questions, and produced studies. That experience made me much more interested in international issues.

I spent the first ten years of my career at Stanford before moving to Oxford University, which had a strong research community in this field. Eventually, I decided to return, and by the time I came back in 2013, Stanford had developed a vibrant and dynamic community in this area.

What is the most exciting or impactful finding from your research, and why do you think it matters for democracy, development, or the rule of law? 


I haven’t pursued research with the aim of having a specific policy impact. I’ve always been more interested in understanding behavior — why people act the way they do — rather than focusing on whether a particular intervention changes outcomes. Without understanding the underlying mechanism, it’s hard to know whether a result will carry over to another context. 

My citations, about 33,500, are spread across a wide range of papers rather than concentrated in one or two major hits. If I had to choose the work I’m proudest of, it would be the book I wrote on market institutions in the early 2000s. Many of my papers have also been influential.
 


 If I had to choose the work I’m proudest of, it would be the book I wrote on market institutions in the early 2000s.
Marcel Fafchamps


What have been some of the most challenging aspects of conducting research in this field, and how did you overcome these challenges? 


Early on, one of the major challenges was finding a place with the right kind of support: interested colleagues, staff who could assist with fieldwork, and, especially, a community of graduate students interested in similar questions. That kind of environment takes time to build. Oxford had a very strong community with a lot of support, funding, and students working in this area. When I later returned to Stanford, we hired younger development economists and were able to build a similarly vibrant student community working on different aspects of behavior and development.

How do you see your research influencing policy or contributing to real-world change? 


Mostly through understanding behavior and what lies behind different types of decisions. That’s what matters. In addition, the direct policy impact has largely come through my students. Many have gone into academia, but many others have joined organizations like the World Bank, the IMF, or private companies. One student, for example, helped set up a commodity exchange in Ethiopia, which certainly had policy impact. So my influence on policy has been felt primarily through the work that my students go on to do.
 


My influence on policy has been felt primarily through the work that my students go on to do.
Marcel Fafchamps


How have things changed in your field since you first began your research, and how has this influenced the way you approach your work? 


Research methodologies have evolved significantly over time. In the early days, researchers did not even use surveys. Later, surveys became more rigorous, and the field moved toward panel data to follow households over longer periods. With the introduction of GPS, it became possible to work with spatial data in new and more precise ways. The emergence of randomized controlled trials marked another major shift and shaped development economics for many years, although that influence is now starting to decline. Conceptually, the growing importance of behavioral economics has also been a major change and has become increasingly central to how we study issues in economic development.

What gaps do you feel need to be addressed in your research field, and what do you anticipate you will study more in the future? 


There are always gaps. It never is a finished business. The challenges also change over time. Recently, in a very short period, many things built over our lifetimes have been undone. The question is whether to try to rebuild them or conclude that they did not work and try something else. I do not think many of the solutions being proposed now will last; they are not effective. The erosion of the rule of law is especially disturbing. Even democracies struggle with it, but in this country, it has essentially gone out the window. The neglect of international law is also profoundly shocking.

Could you elaborate on the broader shifts you’ve observed in recent years, especially the weakening of institutions and systems that once supported development and international cooperation? 


Closing down USAID is a massive change. Development institutions could certainly be improved, but shutting them down entirely is something very different. These shifts have also affected research funding. Funding has dwindled, and academic positions in development have declined. The job market in development economics overall seems to be shrinking. There is also less interest in people who study democracy, because their work would necessarily be critical of what is happening. It has been a significant backward step.

In times of uncertainty, what gives you hope for the future of your field? 


My students! Their enthusiasm has not disappeared, and the enthusiasm among researchers remains strong as well. Our international contacts remain solid, and parts of the world, especially in Europe, such as Germany and Switzerland, have not given up on these ideals. For example, Esther Duflo recently moved from MIT to Zurich, and we may see more moves like that.

Lastly, what book would you recommend for students interested in a research career in your field? 


Development economics now covers everything; it’s essentially all economics for 80 percent of the world, so there isn’t one book that summarizes it. If someone wants to start a research career focused on market institutions, I would recommend the book I wrote on that topic: Market Institutions in Sub-Saharan Africa: Theory and Evidence (MIT Press, 2003). But if I had to pick a book I personally enjoyed, it would be the historian Fernand Braudel's three-volume Civilization and Capitalism, which looks at market institutions across the world from 1400 to 1800. It was eye-opening and a lot more interesting than traditional, battle-focused history.
 



As he approaches retirement at the end of 2025, Dr. Fafchamps offers insights drawn from decades of research on behavior and institutions. His legacy endures through his students and the body of research that continues to shape scholarship worldwide.

On November 14, 2025, CDDRL and the King Center on Global Development hosted "Unfinished Business: A Tribute to Marcel Fafchamps" — a full-day academic symposium celebrating the career and contributions of economist Marcel Fafchamps on the occasion of his retirement. Featuring a keynote by Marcel himself, this tribute brought together colleagues, collaborators, and students to engage with the themes and ideas that have shaped his influential work in development economics, labor markets, and social networks.

Marcel's keynote on "Behavioral Markets" can be viewed below:

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Meet Our Researchers: Dr. Marcel Fafchamps
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A conversation with Marcel Fafchamps as he reflects on the insights, challenges, and evolving institutions that have shaped his decades in development research.

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Over the past six decades, equity stakes in emerging-market infrastructure ventures backed by the International Finance Corporation — which fosters economic development by investing in private enterprises — delivered higher returns, on average, than investments in portfolios of publicly-listed equities.

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International Finance Corporation (IFC) Research Note
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Peter Blair Henry
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